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氣候 預測與賠率

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Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

86%

SpaceX

$4M 交易量

$528K Liq.

14

Ends 6 個月內

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

35%

14–16

$1M 交易量

$15.6K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

9%

$787K 交易量

$37.3K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

71%

2

$3M 交易量

$73.0K Liq.

26

Ends 6 個月內

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

74%

↑3k

$8M 交易量

$30.8K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

<1%

$121K 交易量

$8.8K Liq.

3

Ends 2 天內

Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

3%

$2M 交易量

$67.2K Liq.

34

Ends 6 個月內

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

3%

$685K 交易量

$43.1K Liq.

27

Ends 6 個月內

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

42%

<4m sq km

$57.8K 交易量

$12.9K Liq.

6

Ends 3 個月內

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

7%

$238K 交易量

$8.1K Liq.

6

Ends 6 個月內

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

70%

0

$1M 交易量

$14.2K Liq.

9

Ends 9 個月內

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

28%

August 30

$2.4K 交易量

$1.0K Liq.

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

9%

$8.4K 交易量

$5.2K Liq.

4

Ends 6 個月內

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

13%

1200–1249

$73.5K 交易量

$12.3K Liq.

2

Ends 7 個月內

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

31%

$309K 交易量

$2.3K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

17%

$242K 交易量

$2.5K Liq.

4

Ends 6 個月內

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7%

$116K 交易量

$8.5K Liq.

9

Ends 9 個月內

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

5%

$16.8K 交易量

$8.3K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

41%

5-6

$478K 交易量

$57.6K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in July?

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in July?

87%

≥85 mph

$383 交易量

$352 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 氣候.

Polymarket currently hosts 34 active markets for 氣候 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $22.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “New pandemic in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 74% chance to ↑3k. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 氣候 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.