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科學 預測與賠率

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

10%

December 31

$60M 交易量

$756K today

$2M Liq.

1,608

Ends 6 個月內

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

86%

SpaceX

$4M 交易量

$514K Liq.

14

Ends 6 個月內

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

85%

10

$233K 交易量

$48.7K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 22 - June 28?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 22 - June 28?

91%

>11

$46.3K 交易量

$26.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 22 小時內

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

89%

1.15–1.19ºC

$63.0K 交易量

$37.5K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

36%

14–16

$1M 交易量

$14.6K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

72%

2

$3M 交易量

$69.0K Liq.

26

Ends 6 個月內

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

9%

$787K 交易量

$36.3K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

Measles cases in U.S. by June 30?

2%

2150

$86.8K 交易量

$30.5K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

75%

↑3k

$8M 交易量

$28.8K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

93%

310+

$11.3K 交易量

$23.8K Liq.

Ends 10 天內

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 22 - June 28?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 22 - June 28?

8%

>5

$25.4K 交易量

$12.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 22 小時內

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

<1%

$120K 交易量

$9.3K Liq.

3

Ends 2 天內

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

84%

August 31

$28.7K 交易量

$51.7K Liq.

Precipitation in NYC in June?

Precipitation in NYC in June?

89%

3-4"

$6.2K 交易量

$14.4K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

3%

$2M 交易量

$63.5K Liq.

34

Ends 6 個月內

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

3%

$685K 交易量

$43.1K Liq.

27

Ends 6 個月內

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

11%

$572K 交易量

$7.4K Liq.

3

Ends 6 個月內

FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

FDA approves Viridian Therapeutics' Veligrotug?

99%

$8.2K 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Precipitation in Seoul in June?

Precipitation in Seoul in June?

95%

<100mm

$6.0K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 科學.

Polymarket currently hosts 69 active markets for 科學 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $81.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “New pandemic in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 10% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 科學 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.