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科學 預測與賠率

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美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?

美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?

15%

12月31日

$38M 交易量

$269K today

$2M Liq.

1,236

Ends 8 個月內

SpaceX星艦飛行測試12

SpaceX星艦飛行測試12

96%

June 30

$2M 交易量

$32.1K Liq.

49

Ends 3 個月前

Figure的F.03機器人在8小時內推送的包裹數量?

Figure的F.03機器人在8小時內推送的包裹數量?

99%

10,000+

$32.1K 交易量

$20.1K Liq.

Ends 1 天前

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

52%

1st hottest

$86.9K 交易量

$51.5K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

2026年新流行病?

2026年新流行病?

13%

$371K 交易量

$41.9K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?

27%

6

$19.3K 交易量

$9.1K Liq.

6

Ends 3 天內

2026年會是歷史上最熱的年份之一嗎?

2026年會是歷史上最熱的年份之一嗎?

57%

2

$3M 交易量

$76.7K Liq.

21

Ends 8 個月內

2027年之前發生9.0級或以上地震?

2027年之前發生9.0級或以上地震?

4%

$190K 交易量

$10.5K Liq.

7

Ends 8 個月內

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

41%

1.15–1.19ºC

$21.3K 交易量

$26.7K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

2026年市值最大的IPO ?

87%

SpaceX

$2M 交易量

$80.6K Liq.

13

Ends 8 個月內

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

94%

1900

$39.1K 交易量

$13.5K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?

58%

0

$18.5K 交易量

$11.9K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

SpaceX IPO收市市值(降低罷工)

SpaceX IPO收市市值(降低罷工)

61%

2兆美元以上

$946K 交易量

$64.4K Liq.

8

Ends 超過 1 年內

2026年美國麻疹病例?

2026年美國麻疹病例?

99%

↑2千

$8M 交易量

$17.8K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Doge-1月球任務會在2027年之前發射嗎?

Doge-1月球任務會在2027年之前發射嗎?

7%

$800K 交易量

$25.8K Liq.

41

Ends 8 個月內

2026年的大型流星撞擊( 10kt以上) ?

2026年的大型流星撞擊( 10kt以上) ?

17%

$153K 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

6月30日前有多少次7.0或以上的地震?

6月30日前有多少次7.0或以上的地震?

78%

8+

$2M 交易量

$3.6K Liq.

31

Ends 大約 2 個月內

FDA今年批準Retatrutide ?

FDA今年批準Retatrutide ?

16%

$564K 交易量

$3.2K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

2026年美國有多少個龍捲風?

2026年美國有多少個龍捲風?

63%

1250+

$71.7K 交易量

$6.0K Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

2026年的5kt流星撞擊?

2026年的5kt流星撞擊?

34%

$300K 交易量

$2.6K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 科學.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for 科學 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $57.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “FDA今年批準Retatrutide ?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “美國會在…前證實外星人的存在嗎?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to 12月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 科學 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.