The market's emphasis on one magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquake this week aligns with typical global seismicity rates tracked by the USGS, where background activity averages roughly one to two such events amid tectonic strain along major subduction zones like the Japan Trench and Kermadec arc. Recent data show a quiet start to the August 10–16 window, with no qualifying quakes recorded in the first 48 hours and only isolated M6.3 events earlier in August, reducing the likelihood of clustering from aftershock sequences or foreshock swarms. Historical catalogs indicate natural week-to-week variability without elevated trends in 2026, while ongoing USGS monitoring and catalog updates through resolution could shift counts if an undetected shallow event occurs in high-strain regions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日至8月16日發生了多少次6.5級或以上的地震？
8月10日至8月16日發生了多少次6.5級或以上的地震？
1 59%
2 29%
3 11.8%
4 2.0%
$13,416 交易量
$13,416 交易量
2026-08-10
0
<1%
1
59%
2
29%
3
12%
4
2%
5
1%
>5
1%
1 59%
2 29%
3 11.8%
4 2.0%
$13,416 交易量
$13,416 交易量
2026-08-10
0
$6,734 交易量
<1%
1
$1,926 交易量
59%
2
$752 交易量
29%
3
$641 交易量
12%
4
$553 交易量
2%
5
$656 交易量
1%
>5
$2,155 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The market's emphasis on one magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquake this week aligns with typical global seismicity rates tracked by the USGS, where background activity averages roughly one to two such events amid tectonic strain along major subduction zones like the Japan Trench and Kermadec arc. Recent data show a quiet start to the August 10–16 window, with no qualifying quakes recorded in the first 48 hours and only isolated M6.3 events earlier in August, reducing the likelihood of clustering from aftershock sequences or foreshock swarms. Historical catalogs indicate natural week-to-week variability without elevated trends in 2026, while ongoing USGS monitoring and catalog updates through resolution could shift counts if an undetected shallow event occurs in high-strain regions.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
交易量
$13,416結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The market's emphasis on one magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquake this week aligns with typical global seismicity rates tracked by the USGS, where background activity averages roughly one to two such events amid tectonic strain along major subduction zones like the Japan Trench and Kermadec arc. Recent data show a quiet start to the August 10–16 window, with no qualifying quakes recorded in the first 48 hours and only isolated M6.3 events earlier in August, reducing the likelihood of clustering from aftershock sequences or foreshock swarms. Historical catalogs indicate natural week-to-week variability without elevated trends in 2026, while ongoing USGS monitoring and catalog updates through resolution could shift counts if an undetected shallow event occurs in high-strain regions.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$13,416結束日期
2026-08-17市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETThe market's emphasis on one magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquake this week aligns with typical global seismicity rates tracked by the USGS, where background activity averages roughly one to two such events amid tectonic strain along major subduction zones like the Japan Trench and Kermadec arc. Recent data show a quiet start to the August 10–16 window, with no qualifying quakes recorded in the first 48 hours and only isolated M6.3 events earlier in August, reducing the likelihood of clustering from aftershock sequences or foreshock swarms. Historical catalogs indicate natural week-to-week variability without elevated trends in 2026, while ongoing USGS monitoring and catalog updates through resolution could shift counts if an undetected shallow event occurs in high-strain regions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions