Skip to main content

霍爾木茲 預測與賠率

·
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

10%

$13M 交易量

$574K today

$374K Liq.

1

Ends 16 天內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

<1%

$15M 交易量

$542K today

$2M Liq.

2

Ends 大約 11 小時內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

35%

$5M 交易量

$360K today

$209K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

52%

June 30

$17M 交易量

$158K today

$271K Liq.

452

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?

68%

0-10

$188K 交易量

$90.7K today

$81.5K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

11%

United Kingdom

$871K 交易量

$72.5K today

$237K Liq.

12

Ends 16 天內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

46%

$110K 交易量

$51.0K today

$93.4K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

59%

20+

$403K 交易量

$26.4K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

77%

$105K 交易量

$151K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

53%

20-39

$36.3K 交易量

$39.8K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

1%

$558K 交易量

$36.1K Liq.

39

Ends 16 天內

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

6%

$413K 交易量

$76.6K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

100%

Ship / Chip

$1M 交易量

$1M today

$350K Liq.

219

Ends 大約 11 小時內

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

15%

Oil Sanction Relief

$1M 交易量

$102K today

$211K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

What will the Press Secretary say during the next White House press briefing?

81%

Thing 10+ times

$222 交易量

$618 Liq.

Ends 16 天內

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

47%

June 30

$13M 交易量

$462K today

$283K Liq.

683

Ends 16 天內

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

39%

May 31

$119K 交易量

$77.0K today

$96.4K Liq.

3

Ends 16 天內

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

96%

$756K 交易量

$86.8K Liq.

63

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

70%

<5

$889 交易量

$3.9K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

77%

<5

$4.7K 交易量

$4.0K Liq.

Ends 5 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 霍爾木茲.

Polymarket currently hosts 119 active markets for 霍爾木茲 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $70.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 52% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 霍爾木茲 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.