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配送 預測與賠率

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Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

6%

$413K 交易量

$76.6K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

1%

$52.4K 交易量

$6.2K Liq.

3

Ends 大約 2 個月內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

94%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$6.4K Liq.

123

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

45%

December 31, 2027

$477K 交易量

$4.9K Liq.

33

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

1%

$4.8K 交易量

$9.1K Liq.

1

Ends 16 天內

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$137K 交易量

$8.9K Liq.

10

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

32%

$140K 交易量

$19.9K Liq.

282

Ends 16 天內

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

17%

↑ $3

$642K 交易量

$40.0K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M 交易量

$31.9K Liq.

49

Ends 3 個月前

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 11?

52%

20-39

$34.5K 交易量

$55.7K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

62%

20+

$394K 交易量

$27.0K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

1%

$137K 交易量

$5.7K Liq.

6

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

39%

$5M 交易量

$353K today

$168K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

11%

United Kingdom

$871K 交易量

$72.9K today

$233K Liq.

12

Ends 16 天內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

10%

$13M 交易量

$548K today

$303K Liq.

1

Ends 16 天內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

<1%

$15M 交易量

$543K today

$2M Liq.

2

Ends 大約 12 小時內

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

51%

June 30

$17M 交易量

$157K today

$260K Liq.

451

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

48%

$91.6K 交易量

$96.6K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

91%

$97

$22.5K 交易量

$36.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 9 小時內

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

55%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K 交易量

$2.0K Liq.

4

Ends 8 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 配送.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for 配送 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $58.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 51% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 配送 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.