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費率 預測與賠率

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US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

67%

$43.1K 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

1

Ends 17 天內

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

3%

$46.2K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

4

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

11%

$11.5K 交易量

$3.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

7%

$33.6K 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

4

Ends 大約 2 個月內

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

80%

Iran

$561K 交易量

$441K today

$164K Liq.

33

Ends 大約 24 小時內

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

<1%

Street

$377K 交易量

$234K today

$327K Liq.

31

Ends 4 天前

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

73%

US-China Board of Trade

$14.7K 交易量

$66.9K Liq.

Ends 8 天內

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

Trump-Xi Summit: What will China announce by May 22?

88%

Boeing Aircraft Purchase

$12.9K 交易量

$60.5K Liq.

4

Ends 8 天內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$7.9K Liq.

123

Ends 大約 2 個月內

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

73%

↓ 0.0014

$107K 交易量

$7.9K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

26%

$5.6K 交易量

$4.5K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

18%

↑ $3

$642K 交易量

$40.1K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

10

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 14?

99%

$715

$2.7K 交易量

$36.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 20 小時內

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

53%

↓ 75,000

$14M 交易量

$1M today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends 18 天內

WTT - Women's Singles: Yu-Bin Shin vs Tung-Chuan Chien

WTT - Women's Singles: Yu-Bin Shin vs Tung-Chuan Chien

Shin

$81 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 2 個月前

WTT - Men's Singles: Koen Pang vs Patrick Franziska

WTT - Men's Singles: Koen Pang vs Patrick Franziska

Franziska

$154 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 2 個月前

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

90%

$21.4K 交易量

$3.4K Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 14?

86%

$97

$2.9K 交易量

$20.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 21 小時內

WTT - Men's Singles: Kirill Gerassimenko vs Tom Jarvis

WTT - Men's Singles: Kirill Gerassimenko vs Tom Jarvis

Gerassimenko

$256 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 2 個月前

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for 費率 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x China tariff agreement by May 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $18.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US x China tariff agreement by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 費率 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.