**No at 88% reflects limited legislative progress and fiscal constraints on implementing a citizen tariff dividend by the deadline.** President Trump publicly floated the concept in November 2025, proposing at least $2,000 per person (excluding high earners) funded by tariff collections, with later statements indicating possible distribution toward the end of 2026. White House advisors, including National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, indicated that any such program would likely require congressional legislation rather than executive action alone. Analyses from multiple sources highlight that projected 2026 tariff revenue falls well short of the roughly $450 billion needed for broad per-person payments, prompting skepticism about feasibility without new appropriations or offsets. As of August 2026, no bill has advanced, no payments have been authorized, and administration emphasis has remained on debt reduction and investment incentives instead. Earlier parallel markets for mid-2026 deadlines resolved at effectively zero probability for implementation, underscoring trader consensus that procedural and revenue barriers make completion by year-end unlikely absent major new developments.