Skip to main content

失業 預測與賠率

·
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

28%

5.0%

$387K 交易量

$17.2K Liq.

13

Ends 8 個月內

May Unemployment Rate

May Unemployment Rate

38%

4.3%

$508 交易量

$26.6K Liq.

Ends 21 天內

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

$6.3K 交易量

$988 Liq.

2

Ends 9 個月內

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

43%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$3.3K 交易量

$2.2K Liq.

1

Ends 9 個月內

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

62%

Up

$25.1K 交易量

$9.7K Liq.

Ends 10 個月內

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K 交易量

$8.0K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

72%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

124

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

41%

Keith Sonderling

$43.0K 交易量

$36.2K Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

46%

↑ 85,000

$15M 交易量

$1M today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends 17 天內

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K 交易量

$283 Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

18%

$19.4K 交易量

$11.1K Liq.

Ends 16 天內

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

4%

June 30, 2026

$752K 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

14

Ends 4 個月前

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

68%

↑ $304

$112K 交易量

$23.1K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$137K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

10

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

100%

↓ $4,600

$408K 交易量

$119K Liq.

3

Ends 17 天內

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?

40%

↓ $390

$44.9K 交易量

$27.3K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

73%

↑ 45

$279 交易量

$873 Liq.

Ends 17 天內

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

85%

80-99

$45.0K 交易量

$5.9K Liq.

Ends 大約 8 小時內

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

51%

Petro - Colombia President

$291K 交易量

$276K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 15?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 15?

99%

$96

$19.7K 交易量

$37.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 13 小時內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 失業.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for 失業 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How high will US unemployment go in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $20.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major US official out by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 失業 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.