Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 88.5% for this market resolving by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of federal charges, arrest, or divorce involving former President Barack Obama since its February launch, despite partisan claims of 2016 election interference by President Trump and DNI Tulsi Gabbard. Recent DOJ subpoenas in April targeted Obama-era officials like John Brennan but advanced no indictment against Obama himself, underscoring historical barriers to prosecuting ex-presidents absent ironclad evidence. Obama's routine post-presidency schedule—including a May 13 Late Show appearance, Toronto summit remarks on Democratic leadership gaps, and meetings with figures like James Talarico—shows no qualifying developments, sustaining high odds for inaction through year-end amid institutional norms. Late special counsel referrals or unforeseen scandals could shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於什麼也沒有
$10,379 交易量
$10,379 交易量
什麼也沒有
$10,379 交易量
$10,379 交易量
- Obama federally charged
- Obama arrested
- Obama divorce
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
市場開放時間: Feb 11, 2026, 3:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...- Obama federally charged
- Obama arrested
- Obama divorce
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_Obama.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 88.5% for this market resolving by December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of federal charges, arrest, or divorce involving former President Barack Obama since its February launch, despite partisan claims of 2016 election interference by President Trump and DNI Tulsi Gabbard. Recent DOJ subpoenas in April targeted Obama-era officials like John Brennan but advanced no indictment against Obama himself, underscoring historical barriers to prosecuting ex-presidents absent ironclad evidence. Obama's routine post-presidency schedule—including a May 13 Late Show appearance, Toronto summit remarks on Democratic leadership gaps, and meetings with figures like James Talarico—shows no qualifying developments, sustaining high odds for inaction through year-end amid institutional norms. Late special counsel referrals or unforeseen scandals could shift probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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