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icon for 奧巴馬在2027年之前被聯邦指控?

奧巴馬在2027年之前被聯邦指控?

icon for 奧巴馬在2027年之前被聯邦指控?

奧巴馬在2027年之前被聯邦指控?

12月 31

12月 31

4% 機率
Polymarket

$10,673 交易量

4% 機率
Polymarket

$10,673 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The absence of any active federal indictments or direct public evidence implicating former President Obama in criminal conduct underpins the 95.8% trader consensus on "No." Ongoing DOJ reviews tied to 2016 election intelligence matters have produced referrals and grand jury activity focused primarily on administration officials rather than the former president himself. The compressed timeline through December 31, 2026, combined with elevated evidentiary standards, statutes of limitations, and established protections for official presidential acts, further anchors market pricing. Shifts remain possible through unexpected disclosures or accelerated prosecutorial steps in existing cases, though such outcomes face substantial procedural and legal constraints.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$10,673
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The absence of any active federal indictments or direct public evidence implicating former President Obama in criminal conduct underpins the 95.8% trader consensus on "No." Ongoing DOJ reviews tied to 2016 election intelligence matters have produced referrals and grand jury activity focused primarily on administration officials rather than the former president himself. The compressed timeline through December 31, 2026, combined with elevated evidentiary standards, statutes of limitations, and established protections for official presidential acts, further anchors market pricing. Shifts remain possible through unexpected disclosures or accelerated prosecutorial steps in existing cases, though such outcomes face substantial procedural and legal constraints.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$10,673
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"奧巴馬在2027年之前被聯邦指控?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "奧巴馬在2027年前會被聯邦起訴嗎?" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "奧巴馬在2027年之前被聯邦指控?" has generated $10.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "奧巴馬在2027年之前被聯邦指控?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "奧巴馬在2027年之前被聯邦指控?" is "奧巴馬在2027年前會被聯邦起訴嗎?" at just 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "奧巴馬在2027年之前被聯邦指控?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.