Trader consensus prices Yes at 67% on Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 after more than four months without any triggering events, reflecting stabilized geopolitical risks and steady economic indicators. A May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce has lowered Russia-NATO invasion probabilities, while recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets stopped short of qualifying as a full invasion despite earlier regime stresses following Khamenei's death. Bitcoin holds near $80,000, far from $1 million or $10,000 extremes, and President Trump remains in office with no verified leadership shifts for Xi Jinping or Iranian regime collapse. Absent major natural disasters, odds favor continuity, though uncertainties linger ahead of the Trump-Xi Taiwan summit and November midterms, where historical precedents show slim chances of a Republican Senate supermajority enabling trifecta.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$557,480 交易量
$557,480 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$557,480 交易量
$557,480 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices Yes at 67% on Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 after more than four months without any triggering events, reflecting stabilized geopolitical risks and steady economic indicators. A May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce has lowered Russia-NATO invasion probabilities, while recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets stopped short of qualifying as a full invasion despite earlier regime stresses following Khamenei's death. Bitcoin holds near $80,000, far from $1 million or $10,000 extremes, and President Trump remains in office with no verified leadership shifts for Xi Jinping or Iranian regime collapse. Absent major natural disasters, odds favor continuity, though uncertainties linger ahead of the Trump-Xi Taiwan summit and November midterms, where historical precedents show slim chances of a Republican Senate supermajority enabling trifecta.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$557,480結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus prices Yes at 67% on Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 after more than four months without any triggering events, reflecting stabilized geopolitical risks and steady economic indicators. A May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce has lowered Russia-NATO invasion probabilities, while recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets stopped short of qualifying as a full invasion despite earlier regime stresses following Khamenei's death. Bitcoin holds near $80,000, far from $1 million or $10,000 extremes, and President Trump remains in office with no verified leadership shifts for Xi Jinping or Iranian regime collapse. Absent major natural disasters, odds favor continuity, though uncertainties linger ahead of the Trump-Xi Taiwan summit and November midterms, where historical precedents show slim chances of a Republican Senate supermajority enabling trifecta.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
交易量
$557,480結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices Yes at 67% on Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 after more than four months without any triggering events, reflecting stabilized geopolitical risks and steady economic indicators. A May 9 Ukraine Victory Day truce has lowered Russia-NATO invasion probabilities, while recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian Hormuz targets stopped short of qualifying as a full invasion despite earlier regime stresses following Khamenei's death. Bitcoin holds near $80,000, far from $1 million or $10,000 extremes, and President Trump remains in office with no verified leadership shifts for Xi Jinping or Iranian regime collapse. Absent major natural disasters, odds favor continuity, though uncertainties linger ahead of the Trump-Xi Taiwan summit and November midterms, where historical precedents show slim chances of a Republican Senate supermajority enabling trifecta.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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