Traders assign just 5% odds to the Elon Bull Run Parlay resolving Yes because the multi-condition structure demands simultaneous strong performance across Tesla’s autonomous vehicle program, xAI large language model releases, and SpaceX milestones through year-end. Recent intra-company transactions, including Tesla’s $500 million revenue from related-party AI hardware deals and the SpaceX-xAI merger, have not yet translated into broad market rallies amid EV demand softness and intensifying competition in artificial intelligence. The market-implied consensus reflects skepticism that every threshold—such as Cybercab production targets, Grok capability benchmarks, and launch cadence—will align without slippage. Still, credible catalysts like successful AI5 chip deployment or regulatory approvals for robotaxis could narrow the gap if they arrive before December.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$10,235 交易量
$10,235 交易量
2026-12-31
$10,235 交易量
$10,235 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTraders assign just 5% odds to the Elon Bull Run Parlay resolving Yes because the multi-condition structure demands simultaneous strong performance across Tesla’s autonomous vehicle program, xAI large language model releases, and SpaceX milestones through year-end. Recent intra-company transactions, including Tesla’s $500 million revenue from related-party AI hardware deals and the SpaceX-xAI merger, have not yet translated into broad market rallies amid EV demand softness and intensifying competition in artificial intelligence. The market-implied consensus reflects skepticism that every threshold—such as Cybercab production targets, Grok capability benchmarks, and launch cadence—will align without slippage. Still, credible catalysts like successful AI5 chip deployment or regulatory approvals for robotaxis could narrow the gap if they arrive before December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
市場開放時間： Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$10,235結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTraders assign just 5% odds to the Elon Bull Run Parlay resolving Yes because the multi-condition structure demands simultaneous strong performance across Tesla’s autonomous vehicle program, xAI large language model releases, and SpaceX milestones through year-end. Recent intra-company transactions, including Tesla’s $500 million revenue from related-party AI hardware deals and the SpaceX-xAI merger, have not yet translated into broad market rallies amid EV demand softness and intensifying competition in artificial intelligence. The market-implied consensus reflects skepticism that every threshold—such as Cybercab production targets, Grok capability benchmarks, and launch cadence—will align without slippage. Still, credible catalysts like successful AI5 chip deployment or regulatory approvals for robotaxis could narrow the gap if they arrive before December.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
交易量
$10,235結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign just 5% odds to the Elon Bull Run Parlay resolving Yes because the multi-condition structure demands simultaneous strong performance across Tesla’s autonomous vehicle program, xAI large language model releases, and SpaceX milestones through year-end. Recent intra-company transactions, including Tesla’s $500 million revenue from related-party AI hardware deals and the SpaceX-xAI merger, have not yet translated into broad market rallies amid EV demand softness and intensifying competition in artificial intelligence. The market-implied consensus reflects skepticism that every threshold—such as Cybercab production targets, Grok capability benchmarks, and launch cadence—will align without slippage. Still, credible catalysts like successful AI5 chip deployment or regulatory approvals for robotaxis could narrow the gap if they arrive before December.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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