SpaceX filed its IPO prospectus in May 2026 and targets a Nasdaq debut around June 12 at roughly $1.77 trillion valuation, yet S&P Dow Jones Indices confirmed on June 4 it will not alter eligibility rules to accelerate mega-cap listings. Standard criteria require at least one full year of public trading history plus sustained profitability and liquidity thresholds, rendering inclusion before year-end 2026 effectively impossible following a mid-2026 listing. This timing mismatch, combined with Musk’s retained voting control and ongoing operational focus on Starlink and Starship development, underpins the 89.5% market-implied probability against official addition this year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2027-01-01
是
最新
最新
2027-01-01
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).SpaceX filed its IPO prospectus in May 2026 and targets a Nasdaq debut around June 12 at roughly $1.77 trillion valuation, yet S&P Dow Jones Indices confirmed on June 4 it will not alter eligibility rules to accelerate mega-cap listings. Standard criteria require at least one full year of public trading history plus sustained profitability and liquidity thresholds, rendering inclusion before year-end 2026 effectively impossible following a mid-2026 listing. This timing mismatch, combined with Musk’s retained voting control and ongoing operational focus on Starlink and Starship development, underpins the 89.5% market-implied probability against official addition this year.
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
交易量
$1,025結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).SpaceX filed its IPO prospectus in May 2026 and targets a Nasdaq debut around June 12 at roughly $1.77 trillion valuation, yet S&P Dow Jones Indices confirmed on June 4 it will not alter eligibility rules to accelerate mega-cap listings. Standard criteria require at least one full year of public trading history plus sustained profitability and liquidity thresholds, rendering inclusion before year-end 2026 effectively impossible following a mid-2026 listing. This timing mismatch, combined with Musk’s retained voting control and ongoing operational focus on Starlink and Starship development, underpins the 89.5% market-implied probability against official addition this year.
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
交易量
$1,025結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX filed its IPO prospectus in May 2026 and targets a Nasdaq debut around June 12 at roughly $1.77 trillion valuation, yet S&P Dow Jones Indices confirmed on June 4 it will not alter eligibility rules to accelerate mega-cap listings. Standard criteria require at least one full year of public trading history plus sustained profitability and liquidity thresholds, rendering inclusion before year-end 2026 effectively impossible following a mid-2026 listing. This timing mismatch, combined with Musk’s retained voting control and ongoing operational focus on Starlink and Starship development, underpins the 89.5% market-implied probability against official addition this year.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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