NVIDIA maintains its leading 68.5% implied probability to finish as the largest company by market cap at the end of December 2026, driven by sustained demand for its AI-optimized GPUs and data-center revenue growth that has propelled its valuation above $5 trillion. Alphabet’s 21.0% odds reflect recent momentum from 63% year-over-year Google Cloud expansion and Q1 2026 earnings beats that narrowed the market-cap gap to roughly $200–400 billion. Apple’s 7.1% chance rests on stable services revenue and device sales, while lower-probability names such as SpaceX, Saudi Aramco, and Microsoft trail due to slower recent share-price appreciation relative to the top two. Traders are pricing in continued AI capital spending through year-end as the decisive factor.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於輝達 69%
Alphabet 21%
蘋果 7.1%
SpaceX 2.1%
$2,745,939 交易量
$2,745,939 交易量

輝達
69%

Alphabet
21%

蘋果
7%

SpaceX
2%

沙烏地阿美
1%

微軟
1%

特斯拉
1%

亞馬遜
1%
輝達 69%
Alphabet 21%
蘋果 7.1%
SpaceX 2.1%
$2,745,939 交易量
$2,745,939 交易量

輝達
69%

Alphabet
21%

蘋果
7%

SpaceX
2%

沙烏地阿美
1%

微軟
1%

特斯拉
1%

亞馬遜
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...NVIDIA maintains its leading 68.5% implied probability to finish as the largest company by market cap at the end of December 2026, driven by sustained demand for its AI-optimized GPUs and data-center revenue growth that has propelled its valuation above $5 trillion. Alphabet’s 21.0% odds reflect recent momentum from 63% year-over-year Google Cloud expansion and Q1 2026 earnings beats that narrowed the market-cap gap to roughly $200–400 billion. Apple’s 7.1% chance rests on stable services revenue and device sales, while lower-probability names such as SpaceX, Saudi Aramco, and Microsoft trail due to slower recent share-price appreciation relative to the top two. Traders are pricing in continued AI capital spending through year-end as the decisive factor.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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