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icon for 最大的公司在2026年12月底？
經濟艙·商務

最大的公司在2026年12月底？

icon for 最大的公司在2026年12月底？
經濟艙·商務

最大的公司在2026年12月底？

8月 31

9月 30

12月 31

8月 31

9月 30

12月 31

輝達 78%

蘋果 10.9%

Alphabet 9%

SpaceX <1%

Polymarket

$5,992,472 交易量

輝達 78%

蘋果 10.9%

Alphabet 9%

SpaceX <1%

Polymarket

$5,992,472 交易量

icon for 輝達

輝達

$1,055,185 交易量

78%

icon for 蘋果

蘋果

$816,076 交易量

11%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$614,235 交易量

9%

icon for SpaceX

SpaceX

$494,138 交易量

1%

icon for 微軟

微軟

$796,591 交易量

1%

icon for 沙烏地阿美

沙烏地阿美

$778,103 交易量

<1%

icon for 特斯拉

特斯拉

$688,401 交易量

<1%

icon for 亞馬遜

亞馬遜

$749,743 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's dominant position in the AI accelerator market, fueled by record revenue growth and margin expansion in recent quarters, underpins the 78% market-implied probability it will hold the largest capitalization by December 2026. Traders have priced in continued outperformance versus analyst estimates, supported by elevated demand for its data-center GPUs and high trading volumes in semiconductor equities. Apple and Alphabet trail at 10.9% and 9.0% respectively, reflecting slower growth trajectories in consumer hardware and search advertising amid competitive pressures. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming third-quarter earnings releases and any shifts in Treasury yields or Fed policy that could influence technology valuation multiples across the sector.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$5,992,472
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's dominant position in the AI accelerator market, fueled by record revenue growth and margin expansion in recent quarters, underpins the 78% market-implied probability it will hold the largest capitalization by December 2026. Traders have priced in continued outperformance versus analyst estimates, supported by elevated demand for its data-center GPUs and high trading volumes in semiconductor equities. Apple and Alphabet trail at 10.9% and 9.0% respectively, reflecting slower growth trajectories in consumer hardware and search advertising amid competitive pressures. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming third-quarter earnings releases and any shifts in Treasury yields or Fed policy that could influence technology valuation multiples across the sector.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$5,992,472
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

相關

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蘋果會在12月31日成為全球市值第二大的公司嗎？

40%
是
icon for Alphabet 會成為 12 月 31 日時全球市值第三大的公司嗎？

Alphabet 會成為 12 月 31 日時全球市值第三大的公司嗎？

44%
是
icon for Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

97%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"最大的公司在2026年12月底？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "輝達" at 78%, followed by "蘋果" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "最大的公司在2026年12月底？" has generated $6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "最大的公司在2026年12月底？," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "最大的公司在2026年12月底？" is "輝達" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "蘋果" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "最大的公司在2026年12月底？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.