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商務 預測與賠率

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Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

99%

NVIDIA

$24M 交易量

$201K today

$2M Liq.

80

Ends 2 天內

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

78%

0 (0 bps)

$39M 交易量

$128K today

$3M Liq.

90

Ends 6 個月內

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

73%

NVIDIA

$4M 交易量

$826K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

86%

SpaceX

$4M 交易量

$522K Liq.

14

Ends 6 個月內

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month

57%

$2.0T-$2.5T

$1M 交易量

$279K Liq.

21

Ends 3 天內

Largest Company end of July?

Largest Company end of July?

93%

NVIDIA

$58.1K 交易量

$237K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

2nd largest company end of June?

2nd largest company end of June?

63%

Apple

$900K 交易量

$249K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?

How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?

30%

475k+

$220K 交易量

$83.3K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

76%

Anthropic

$7M 交易量

$121K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

25%

December 31, 2026

$2M 交易量

$181K Liq.

13

Ends 6 個月內

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

79%

MGM Resorts

$18M 交易量

$76.6K Liq.

25

Ends 6 個月內

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

<1%

$4M 交易量

$38.0K Liq.

85

Ends 2 天內

GPU rental prices (H200) end of June?

GPU rental prices (H200) end of June?

70%

$3.00-$4.00

$55.1K 交易量

$29.6K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

3rd largest company end of June?

3rd largest company end of June?

63%

Alphabet

$137K 交易量

$136K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

2nd Largest Company end of July?

2nd Largest Company end of July?

54%

Alphabet

$5.5K 交易量

$107K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

1%

OpenAI

$2M 交易量

$106K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

3rd Largest Company end of July?

3rd Largest Company end of July?

54%

Apple

$5.9K 交易量

$95.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Bending Spoons IPO Closing Market Cap

Bending Spoons IPO Closing Market Cap

40%

<$16B

$5.2K 交易量

$15.3K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

90%

Anthropic

$196K 交易量

$10.6K Liq.

3

Ends 超過 1 年內

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

<1%

$310K 交易量

$62.3K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 145 active markets for 商務 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Largest Company end of June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $107.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to 0 (0 bps). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 商務 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.