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icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$147,577 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$147,577 交易量

Polymarket

JetBlue

$25,611 交易量

5%

Frontier Airlines

$34,270 交易量

7%

Allegiant

$37,810 交易量

3%

American Airlines

$17,392 交易量

2%

Alaska Airlines

$32,493 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices remain the dominant pressure on airline margins in 2026, amplifying losses for carriers with thin balance sheets and high fixed costs. U.S. passenger airlines recorded a $966 million after-tax net loss in Q1 2026, with Spirit Airlines completing its second Chapter 11 filing and liquidating operations in May after failing to restructure amid fuel spikes that invalidated exit assumptions. JetBlue has been cited as particularly exposed due to ongoing losses exceeding $1 billion annually. In contrast, legacy carriers such as American Airlines have reduced total debt to $34.7 billion—its lowest level since mid-2015—while reporting record quarterly revenues. Trader sentiment for additional bankruptcy filings by year-end centers on whether sustained high fuel costs and soft leisure demand will overwhelm smaller or ultra-low-cost operators before Q3 and Q4 earnings provide clearer signals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$147,577
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated jet fuel prices remain the dominant pressure on airline margins in 2026, amplifying losses for carriers with thin balance sheets and high fixed costs. U.S. passenger airlines recorded a $966 million after-tax net loss in Q1 2026, with Spirit Airlines completing its second Chapter 11 filing and liquidating operations in May after failing to restructure amid fuel spikes that invalidated exit assumptions. JetBlue has been cited as particularly exposed due to ongoing losses exceeding $1 billion annually. In contrast, legacy carriers such as American Airlines have reduced total debt to $34.7 billion—its lowest level since mid-2015—while reporting record quarterly revenues. Trader sentiment for additional bankruptcy filings by year-end centers on whether sustained high fuel costs and soft leisure demand will overwhelm smaller or ultra-low-cost operators before Q3 and Q4 earnings provide clearer signals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$147,577
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Frontier Airlines" at 7%, followed by "JetBlue" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" has generated $147.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" is "Frontier Airlines" at just 7%, with "JetBlue" close behind at 5%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.