Recent escalation in Middle East tensions, particularly US-Iran frictions and restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz, has lifted WTI crude prices above $102 per barrel as of mid-May 2026, adding a substantial supply-risk premium to the front-month contract. Traders are monitoring inventory draws reported by the IEA, reduced Saudi output to multi-decade lows, and any signs of de-escalation that could ease shipping flows by late May. Market-implied odds reflect this volatility, with prices sensitive to daily geopolitical headlines and upcoming EIA inventory data that could shift the near-term balance between constrained supply and softening global demand. Resolution of the Hormuz situation or renewed OPEC+ production signals remain the key catalysts likely to determine whether WTI sustains gains or retraces into the week of May 18.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於↑ $135
3%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $125
5%
↑ $120
7%
↑ $115
13%
↑ $110
32%
↑ $105
84%
↓ $100
88%
↓ $95
20%
↓ $90
25%
↓ $85
8%
↓ $80
5%
↓ $75
3%
↓ $70
1%
$5,492 交易量
↑ $135
3%
↑ $130
3%
↑ $125
5%
↑ $120
7%
↑ $115
13%
↑ $110
32%
↑ $105
84%
↓ $100
88%
↓ $95
20%
↓ $90
25%
↓ $85
8%
↓ $80
5%
↓ $75
3%
↓ $70
1%
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Recent escalation in Middle East tensions, particularly US-Iran frictions and restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz, has lifted WTI crude prices above $102 per barrel as of mid-May 2026, adding a substantial supply-risk premium to the front-month contract. Traders are monitoring inventory draws reported by the IEA, reduced Saudi output to multi-decade lows, and any signs of de-escalation that could ease shipping flows by late May. Market-implied odds reflect this volatility, with prices sensitive to daily geopolitical headlines and upcoming EIA inventory data that could shift the near-term balance between constrained supply and softening global demand. Resolution of the Hormuz situation or renewed OPEC+ production signals remain the key catalysts likely to determine whether WTI sustains gains or retraces into the week of May 18.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions