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icon for 2026年12月31日最富有的人?

2026年12月31日最富有的人?

icon for 2026年12月31日最富有的人?

2026年12月31日最富有的人?

12月 31

12月 31

埃隆·馬斯克 97.7%

沃倫·巴菲特 <1%

拉里·佩奇 <1%

貝爾納·阿爾諾 <1%

Polymarket

$1,906,200 交易量

埃隆·馬斯克 97.7%

沃倫·巴菲特 <1%

拉里·佩奇 <1%

貝爾納·阿爾諾 <1%

Polymarket

$1,906,200 交易量

icon for 埃隆·馬斯克

埃隆·馬斯克

$190,876 交易量

98%

icon for 沃倫·巴菲特

沃倫·巴菲特

$90,766 交易量

1%

icon for 拉里·佩奇

拉里·佩奇

$147,539 交易量

<1%

icon for 貝爾納·阿爾諾

貝爾納·阿爾諾

$367,404 交易量

<1%

icon for 史蒂夫·鮑爾默

史蒂夫·鮑爾默

$310,571 交易量

<1%

icon for 傑夫·貝佐斯

傑夫·貝佐斯

$339,324 交易量

<1%

icon for 拉里·埃里森

拉里·埃里森

$60,026 交易量

<1%

icon for 黃仁勳

黃仁勳

$179,304 交易量

<1%

icon for 謝爾蓋·布林

謝爾蓋·布林

$87,672 交易量

<1%

icon for 馬克·祖克柏

馬克·祖克柏

$132,720 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk's commanding lead at 97.7% reflects his unmatched scale in the billionaire rankings, driven by massive stakes in SpaceX—following its 2026 IPO—and Tesla amid strong valuations that have kept him atop Forbes and Bloomberg lists by hundreds of billions. Recent earnings and share performance have reinforced this edge, building on his history of outpacing peers like Larry Page and Jeff Bezos through tech and aerospace momentum. Traders see limited room for change before year-end. Realistic upsets would require a sharp tech market reversal or outsized gains elsewhere, though historical patterns and current gaps make those shifts improbable without major unforeseen catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$1,906,200
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk's commanding lead at 97.7% reflects his unmatched scale in the billionaire rankings, driven by massive stakes in SpaceX—following its 2026 IPO—and Tesla amid strong valuations that have kept him atop Forbes and Bloomberg lists by hundreds of billions. Recent earnings and share performance have reinforced this edge, building on his history of outpacing peers like Larry Page and Jeff Bezos through tech and aerospace momentum. Traders see limited room for change before year-end. Realistic upsets would require a sharp tech market reversal or outsized gains elsewhere, though historical patterns and current gaps make those shifts improbable without major unforeseen catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$1,906,200
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年12月31日最富有的人?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "埃隆·馬斯克" at 98%, followed by "沃倫·巴菲特" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年12月31日最富有的人?" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年12月31日最富有的人?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年12月31日最富有的人?" is "埃隆·馬斯克" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "沃倫·巴菲特" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年12月31日最富有的人?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.