12月31日是第二富有的人？

Name: 12月31日是第二富有的人？
Start: 2026-01-30T23:57:45.799Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

拉里·佩奇 31%

沃倫·巴菲特 28.7%

馬斯克 17%

馬克·祖克柏 11%

$41,443 交易量

2026-03-31

拉里·佩奇

$20,688 交易量

17%

沃倫·巴菲特

$1,266 交易量

29%

馬斯克

$609 交易量

15%

馬克·祖克柏

$317 交易量

11%

拉里·埃里森

$582 交易量

謝爾蓋·布林

$6,795 交易量

黃仁勳

$662 交易量

<1%

史蒂夫·鮑爾默

$525 交易量

<1%

貝爾納·阿爾諾

$561 交易量

<1%

貝佐斯

$9,437 交易量

43%

拉里·佩奇 31%

沃倫·巴菲特 28.7%

馬斯克 17%

馬克·祖克柏 11%

$41,443 交易量

2026-03-31

拉里·佩奇

$20,688 交易量

17%

沃倫·巴菲特

$1,266 交易量

29%

馬斯克

$609 交易量

15%

馬克·祖克柏

$317 交易量

11%

拉里·埃里森

$582 交易量

謝爾蓋·布林

$6,795 交易量

黃仁勳

$662 交易量

<1%

史蒂夫·鮑爾默

$525 交易量

<1%

貝爾納·阿爾諾

$561 交易量

<1%

貝佐斯

$9,437 交易量

43%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"12月31日是第二富有的人？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "貝佐斯" at 43%, followed by "沃倫·巴菲特" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "12月31日是第二富有的人？" has generated $41.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "12月31日是第二富有的人？," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "12月31日是第二富有的人？" is "貝佐斯" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "沃倫·巴菲特" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "12月31日是第二富有的人？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "12月31日是第二富有的人？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $41.4K traded on “12月31日是第二富有的人？,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "12月31日是第二富有的人？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 43¢ for "貝佐斯" in the "12月31日是第二富有的人？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 43% chance that "貝佐斯" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 43¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 57¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "12月31日是第二富有的人？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "12月31日是第二富有的人？" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "12月31日是第二富有的人？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

12月31日是第二富有的人？

12月31日是第二富有的人？

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論 (1)

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "12月31日是第二富有的人？" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "12月31日是第二富有的人？" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "12月31日是第二富有的人？"?

What are the current odds for "12月31日是第二富有的人？"?

How will "12月31日是第二富有的人？" be resolved?

Can I follow "12月31日是第二富有的人？" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "12月31日是第二富有的人？" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "12月31日是第二富有的人？"?

What does a price of 43¢ for "貝佐斯" mean?

When does the "12月31日是第二富有的人？" market close?

What are traders saying about "12月31日是第二富有的人？"?

What is Polymarket?