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停機時間 預測與賠率

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Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

37%

6-8

$33.4K 交易量

$13.2K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

30%

3

$15.8K 交易量

$7.1K Liq.

1

Ends 17 天內

Services Down Parlay

Services Down Parlay

2%

$14.3K 交易量

$355 Liq.

10

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

50%

Up

$173 交易量

$1 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

49%

Up

$2.6K 交易量

$30 Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月前

Solana Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Solana Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Up

$18.2K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 個月前

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

14%

$17.3K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 7PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$261 Liq.

Ends 大約 23 小時內

Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET

Up

$19.4K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 3 個月前

HYPE Up or Down - March 9, 3PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - March 9, 3PM ET

Up

$0 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 2 個月前

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 4PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$329 Liq.

Ends 大約 20 小時內

HYPE Up or Down - May 15, 7PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 15, 7PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$199 Liq.

Ends 2 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$205 Liq.

Ends 2 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 6PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$169 Liq.

Ends 大約 22 小時內

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 10PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 10PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$180 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$310 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$25 Liq.

Ends 2 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$178 Liq.

Ends 1 天內

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET

HYPE Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$169 Liq.

Ends 大約 16 小時內

Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7PM ET

Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7PM ET

50%

Up

$0 交易量

$738 Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 停機時間.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for 停機時間 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Claude go down on __ days in May?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $121K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Solana Up or Down - February 22, 4PM ET”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Claude go down on __ days in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Claude go down on __ days in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 37% chance to 6-8. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 停機時間 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.