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Claude 預測與賠率

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克勞德寓言5為美國客戶恢復了… ?

克勞德寓言5為美國客戶恢復了… ?

98%

12月31日

$3M 交易量

$352K today

$321K Liq.

308

Ends 4 天內

下一首克勞德十四行詩由… ?

下一首克勞德十四行詩由… ?

83%

7月31日

$146K 交易量

$90.1K today

$40.5K Liq.

4

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Claude在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?

Claude在6月30日之前在人類的最後一次考試中得分?

4%

45%+

$388K 交易量

$18.3K Liq.

31

Ends 2 天內

Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?

Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?

89%

June 30

$46.6K 交易量

$15.4K Liq.

5

Ends 3 天內

美國政府通過…撤銷克勞德寓言5外國人禁令?

美國政府通過…撤銷克勞德寓言5外國人禁令?

14%

6月30日

$148K 交易量

$12.7K Liq.

16

Ends 3 天內

Claude Code Commits End of June?

Claude Code Commits End of June?

34%

550.0-600.0k

$13.2K 交易量

$13.8K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

73%

6-8

$37.6K 交易量

$4.2K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

4%

↓ 450.0k

$8.3K 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

Anthropic的估值會在12月31日前達到__嗎?

Anthropic的估值會在12月31日前達到__嗎?

95%

↑1.1 兆美元

$2M 交易量

$255K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Best AI model on July 4?

Best AI model on July 4?

94%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1.1K 交易量

$15.7K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Anthropic IPO收市市值

Anthropic IPO收市市值

20%

$1.25–$1.5T

$89.1K 交易量

$95.1K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Anthropic的估值會在6月30日前達到__嗎?

Anthropic的估值會在6月30日前達到__嗎?

11%

↑ 1.1 兆美元

$483K 交易量

$114K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

特朗普下令聯邦政府審查人工智能模型的發布... ?

特朗普下令聯邦政府審查人工智能模型的發布... ?

50%

July 31

$323K 交易量

$16.0K Liq.

51

Ends 2 天內

Anthropic或OpenAI會先上市嗎?

Anthropic或OpenAI會先上市嗎?

90%

Anthropic

$196K 交易量

$11.6K Liq.

3

Ends 超過 1 年內

Anthropic IPO收市市值(下括號)

Anthropic IPO收市市值(下括號)

88%

6000億+

$389K 交易量

$153K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Anthropic IPO收市值(中括號)

Anthropic IPO收市值(中括號)

46%

1.8T+

$180K 交易量

$70.7K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

71%

September 30

$16.3K 交易量

$15.9K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

72%

1580

$6.4K 交易量

$7.6K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

2027年之前收購的Anthropic ?

2027年之前收購的Anthropic ?

2%

$24.2K 交易量

$7.2K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

人類會在…前與五角大樓達成協議嗎?

人類會在…前與五角大樓達成協議嗎?

4%

6月30日

$148K 交易量

$23.1K Liq.

6

Ends 2 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude.

Polymarket currently hosts 26 active markets for Claude that lets you track or trade on predictions like “克勞德寓言5為美國客戶恢復了… ?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “2027年之前收購的Anthropic ?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “克勞德寓言5為美國客戶恢復了… ?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “克勞德寓言5為美國客戶恢復了… ?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to 12月31日. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.