Anthropic's explosive revenue trajectory and aggressive capital raises underpin the 67.5% implied probability on an IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company closed a $65 billion Series H round in May 2026 at a $965 billion post-money valuation while reporting $47 billion in annualized run-rate revenue, then confidentially filed its S-1 in June targeting an October Nasdaq debut. Investor expectations for $100–120 billion in annualized revenue by year-end, alongside secondary trading implying over $1 trillion, have shifted consensus sharply higher. Upcoming catalysts include the public S-1 release and final pricing talks, though execution risk around listing timing and market conditions could still influence the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於1.8T+ 68%
1.5–1.8T 15.8%
1.2–1.5T 8.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.3%
$312,386 交易量
$312,386 交易量
<0.6T
2%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
9%
1.5–1.8T
16%
1.8T+
68%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
4%
1.8T+ 68%
1.5–1.8T 15.8%
1.2–1.5T 8.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.3%
$312,386 交易量
$312,386 交易量
<0.6T
2%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
9%
1.5–1.8T
16%
1.8T+
68%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
4%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's explosive revenue trajectory and aggressive capital raises underpin the 67.5% implied probability on an IPO closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. The company closed a $65 billion Series H round in May 2026 at a $965 billion post-money valuation while reporting $47 billion in annualized run-rate revenue, then confidentially filed its S-1 in June targeting an October Nasdaq debut. Investor expectations for $100–120 billion in annualized revenue by year-end, alongside secondary trading implying over $1 trillion, have shifted consensus sharply higher. Upcoming catalysts include the public S-1 release and final pricing talks, though execution risk around listing timing and market conditions could still influence the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions