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GPT 5 預測與賠率

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GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

94%

July 31

$41.2K 交易量

$19.0K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

96%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$24.4K 交易量

$40.8K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

56%

50%+

$22.9K 交易量

$495 Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

66%

60%+

$34.7K 交易量

$2.3K Liq.

4

Ends 大約 2 個月內

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

82%

December 31, 2026

$304K 交易量

$12.2K Liq.

45

Ends 4 個月前

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

93%

September 30

$9.5K 交易量

$13.0K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K 交易量

Ends 25 天前

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

10%

June 30, 2026

$156K 交易量

$3.0K Liq.

30

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K 交易量

$1 Liq.

Ends 大約 12 小時前

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

SHISHKA

$603 交易量

Ends 2 天前

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Misa Esports

$916 交易量

Ends 大約 14 小時前

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

34%

3

$16.0K 交易量

$7.5K Liq.

2

Ends 16 天內

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Endless Journey

$1.4K 交易量

Ends 5 天前

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

75%

SHISHKA

$2.3K 交易量

$2.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 12 小時內

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ENJOY (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

CYBERSHOKE Prospects

$705 交易量

Ends 3 天前

Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH (BO5) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs

Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH (BO5) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs

55%

Grind Back

$10.6K 交易量

$1M Liq.

Ends 大約 1 小時內

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Donstu Esports

$2.3K 交易量

Ends 1 天前

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

99%

Drake releases Iceman

$22M 交易量

$668K Liq.

847

Ends 3 個月內

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

81%

September 30, 2026

$4M 交易量

$55.1K Liq.

204

Ends 15 天前

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?

20%

≤3

$21.7K 交易量

$11.9K Liq.

5

Ends 2 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like GPT 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for GPT 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-5.6 released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $26.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Dota 2: Grind Back vs GLYPH (BO5) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on GPT 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.