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icon for 2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？
科技·OpenAI

2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？

icon for 2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？
科技·OpenAI

2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？

12月 31

12月 31

是

67% 機率
Polymarket

$23,011 交易量

是

67% 機率
Polymarket

$23,011 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's trader consensus at 67% implied probability for a $1 trillion-plus valuation by year-end reflects its explosive momentum from a record $122 billion funding round closed March 31 at an $852 billion post-money valuation, fueled by $2 billion monthly revenue run rate and commitments from tech giants like Microsoft, Nvidia, and SoftBank to build next-generation AI infrastructure. This positions the company just 17% away from the threshold amid preparations for a potential IPO in the second half of 2026, where market dynamics could propel multiples higher on enterprise adoption of large language models like GPT series. However, sentiment is tempered by April reports of missed revenue and user growth targets, intensifying competition from Anthropic's surging secondary valuations, and execution risks in scaling AI capabilities amid regulatory scrutiny. Key catalysts include Q2 earnings previews and IPO filing timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,011
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's trader consensus at 67% implied probability for a $1 trillion-plus valuation by year-end reflects its explosive momentum from a record $122 billion funding round closed March 31 at an $852 billion post-money valuation, fueled by $2 billion monthly revenue run rate and commitments from tech giants like Microsoft, Nvidia, and SoftBank to build next-generation AI infrastructure. This positions the company just 17% away from the threshold amid preparations for a potential IPO in the second half of 2026, where market dynamics could propel multiples higher on enterprise adoption of large language models like GPT series. However, sentiment is tempered by April reports of missed revenue and user growth targets, intensifying competition from Anthropic's surging secondary valuations, and execution risks in scaling AI capabilities amid regulatory scrutiny. Key catalysts include Q2 earnings previews and IPO filing timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$23,011
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "OpenAI 2026年市值超過1兆美元？" at 67%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？" has generated $23K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？" is "OpenAI 2026年市值超過1兆美元？" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.