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icon for 2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？

2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？

icon for 2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？

2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？

12月 31

12月 31

是

48% 機率
Polymarket

$26,930 交易量

是

48% 機率
Polymarket

$26,930 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent $852 billion post-money valuation from its March 2026 funding round, combined with a confidential IPO filing and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a minimum $1 trillion debut price, anchors the 60.4% market-implied probability for reaching $1T+ this year. Strong revenue growth toward a $20 billion annualized run rate and continued AI infrastructure demand support upward momentum, yet trader consensus incorporates realistic risks including possible IPO slippage into 2027 and high capital expenditures. Key near-term catalysts include any public updates on S-1 progress, new partnership announcements, or quarterly performance metrics that could shift secondary-market pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,930
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s recent $852 billion post-money valuation from its March 2026 funding round, combined with a confidential IPO filing and CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a minimum $1 trillion debut price, anchors the 60.4% market-implied probability for reaching $1T+ this year. Strong revenue growth toward a $20 billion annualized run rate and continued AI infrastructure demand support upward momentum, yet trader consensus incorporates realistic risks including possible IPO slippage into 2027 and high capital expenditures. Key near-term catalysts include any public updates on S-1 progress, new partnership announcements, or quarterly performance metrics that could shift secondary-market pricing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,930
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "OpenAI 2026年市值超過1兆美元？" at 60%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？" has generated $26.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？" is "OpenAI 2026年市值超過1兆美元？" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.