Recent $65 billion Series H funding at a $965 billion post-money valuation in late May, followed by Anthropic’s confidential U.S. IPO filing on June 1, anchors trader expectations for a 2026 listing and supports the leading $1.25–1.5 trillion market-cap bucket at 22.5 percent implied probability. Rapid valuation growth from $380 billion in February reflects surging enterprise adoption of Claude models, strategic backing from Amazon and Google, and a faster profitability trajectory than OpenAI, yet the dispersed odds across $1–3 trillion+ ranges highlight uncertainty over IPO timing, broader AI equity multiples, and competitive positioning. With only 0.7 percent odds of no listing by end-2027, markets price in strong capital-market access while embedding risks from sector volatility and regulatory scrutiny.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1.25–$1.5T 23%
<$1.25T 18%
$1.5–$1.75T 15.8%
$1.75–$2.0T 15%
$40,872 交易量
$40,872 交易量
2026-12-31
<$1.25T
18%
$1.25–$1.5T
23%
$1.5–$1.75T
16%
$1.75–$2.0T
15%
$2.0–$2.25T
5%
$2.25–$2.5T
11%
$2.5–$2.75T
3%
$2.75–$3.0T
6%
$3.0T+
11%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$1.25–$1.5T 23%
<$1.25T 18%
$1.5–$1.75T 15.8%
$1.75–$2.0T 15%
$40,872 交易量
$40,872 交易量
2026-12-31
<$1.25T
$9,614 交易量
18%
$1.25–$1.5T
$2,824 交易量
23%
$1.5–$1.75T
$3,376 交易量
16%
$1.75–$2.0T
$3,567 交易量
15%
$2.0–$2.25T
$6,961 交易量
5%
$2.25–$2.5T
$1,602 交易量
11%
$2.5–$2.75T
$3,927 交易量
3%
$2.75–$3.0T
$1,828 交易量
6%
$3.0T+
$4,325 交易量
11%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$2,847 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent $65 billion Series H funding at a $965 billion post-money valuation in late May, followed by Anthropic’s confidential U.S. IPO filing on June 1, anchors trader expectations for a 2026 listing and supports the leading $1.25–1.5 trillion market-cap bucket at 22.5 percent implied probability. Rapid valuation growth from $380 billion in February reflects surging enterprise adoption of Claude models, strategic backing from Amazon and Google, and a faster profitability trajectory than OpenAI, yet the dispersed odds across $1–3 trillion+ ranges highlight uncertainty over IPO timing, broader AI equity multiples, and competitive positioning. With only 0.7 percent odds of no listing by end-2027, markets price in strong capital-market access while embedding risks from sector volatility and regulatory scrutiny.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$40,872結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent $65 billion Series H funding at a $965 billion post-money valuation in late May, followed by Anthropic’s confidential U.S. IPO filing on June 1, anchors trader expectations for a 2026 listing and supports the leading $1.25–1.5 trillion market-cap bucket at 22.5 percent implied probability. Rapid valuation growth from $380 billion in February reflects surging enterprise adoption of Claude models, strategic backing from Amazon and Google, and a faster profitability trajectory than OpenAI, yet the dispersed odds across $1–3 trillion+ ranges highlight uncertainty over IPO timing, broader AI equity multiples, and competitive positioning. With only 0.7 percent odds of no listing by end-2027, markets price in strong capital-market access while embedding risks from sector volatility and regulatory scrutiny.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$40,872結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent $65 billion Series H funding at a $965 billion post-money valuation in late May, followed by Anthropic’s confidential U.S. IPO filing on June 1, anchors trader expectations for a 2026 listing and supports the leading $1.25–1.5 trillion market-cap bucket at 22.5 percent implied probability. Rapid valuation growth from $380 billion in February reflects surging enterprise adoption of Claude models, strategic backing from Amazon and Google, and a faster profitability trajectory than OpenAI, yet the dispersed odds across $1–3 trillion+ ranges highlight uncertainty over IPO timing, broader AI equity multiples, and competitive positioning. With only 0.7 percent odds of no listing by end-2027, markets price in strong capital-market access while embedding risks from sector volatility and regulatory scrutiny.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions