Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5—the most agentic mid-tier model yet, with near-Opus 4.8 performance on coding, tool use, planning, and autonomous browser/terminal tasks—sets the baseline for the next Sonnet release. It arrived roughly four months after Sonnet 4.6 and quickly became the default for free and Pro users at discounted API pricing. Traders watch Anthropic’s pattern of iterative upgrades amid competition from OpenAI and Google models, alongside internal signals like system cards, API deprecations, and developer conferences. No major Sonnet announcement has surfaced since the June release, though Opus 5 and variant launches in July–September illustrate ongoing cadence; the next update would likely target expanded context, agent reliability, or further cost reductions to maintain positioning in the midsize tier.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$11,998 交易量
2026-09-30
9 月 30 日
50%
10月31日
81%
12 月 31 日
97%
$11,998 交易量
9 月 30 日
$92 交易量
50%
10月31日
$4,416 交易量
81%
12 月 31 日
$3,751 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5—the most agentic mid-tier model yet, with near-Opus 4.8 performance on coding, tool use, planning, and autonomous browser/terminal tasks—sets the baseline for the next Sonnet release. It arrived roughly four months after Sonnet 4.6 and quickly became the default for free and Pro users at discounted API pricing. Traders watch Anthropic’s pattern of iterative upgrades amid competition from OpenAI and Google models, alongside internal signals like system cards, API deprecations, and developer conferences. No major Sonnet announcement has surfaced since the June release, though Opus 5 and variant launches in July–September illustrate ongoing cadence; the next update would likely target expanded context, agent reliability, or further cost reductions to maintain positioning in the midsize tier.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ET
交易量
$11,998結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5—the most agentic mid-tier model yet, with near-Opus 4.8 performance on coding, tool use, planning, and autonomous browser/terminal tasks—sets the baseline for the next Sonnet release. It arrived roughly four months after Sonnet 4.6 and quickly became the default for free and Pro users at discounted API pricing. Traders watch Anthropic’s pattern of iterative upgrades amid competition from OpenAI and Google models, alongside internal signals like system cards, API deprecations, and developer conferences. No major Sonnet announcement has surfaced since the June release, though Opus 5 and variant launches in July–September illustrate ongoing cadence; the next update would likely target expanded context, agent reliability, or further cost reductions to maintain positioning in the midsize tier.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$11,998結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 9:06 AM ETAnthropic’s June 30, 2026 launch of Claude Sonnet 5—the most agentic mid-tier model yet, with near-Opus 4.8 performance on coding, tool use, planning, and autonomous browser/terminal tasks—sets the baseline for the next Sonnet release. It arrived roughly four months after Sonnet 4.6 and quickly became the default for free and Pro users at discounted API pricing. Traders watch Anthropic’s pattern of iterative upgrades amid competition from OpenAI and Google models, alongside internal signals like system cards, API deprecations, and developer conferences. No major Sonnet announcement has surfaced since the June release, though Opus 5 and variant launches in July–September illustrate ongoing cadence; the next update would likely target expanded context, agent reliability, or further cost reductions to maintain positioning in the midsize tier.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions