OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra-Max currently leads the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with the highest Arena score, driving its 68% implied probability among traders. The model’s early-September release delivered clear gains in agentic, multi-step web development tasks that the crowdsourced benchmark rewards, outpacing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1-Max by roughly 40 points. With only days left until end-of-September resolution, recent leaderboard stability and the absence of major competing releases from Google, Meta, or open-weight labs have reinforced trader consensus around OpenAI’s edge while keeping secondary options like Anthropic at 30%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於OpenAI 67.9%
Anthropic 31%
Moonshot <1%
Google <1%
$158,621 交易量
$158,621 交易量
2026-09-30
OpenAI
68%
Anthropic
31%
Moonshot
1%
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meta
<1%
字節跳動
<1%
阿里巴巴
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
小米
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Thinky
<1%
騰訊
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 67.9%
Anthropic 31%
Moonshot <1%
Google <1%
$158,621 交易量
$158,621 交易量
2026-09-30
OpenAI
$32,161 交易量
68%
Anthropic
$66,158 交易量
31%
Moonshot
$21,031 交易量
1%
$7,896 交易量
<1%
Z.ai
$4,801 交易量
<1%
SpaceXAI
$6,591 交易量
<1%
Meta
$3,137 交易量
<1%
字節跳動
$1,134 交易量
<1%
阿里巴巴
$8,558 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$1,246 交易量
<1%
小米
$657 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,690 交易量
<1%
Thinky
$560 交易量
<1%
騰訊
$571 交易量
<1%
Poolside
$641 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$789 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra-Max currently leads the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with the highest Arena score, driving its 68% implied probability among traders. The model’s early-September release delivered clear gains in agentic, multi-step web development tasks that the crowdsourced benchmark rewards, outpacing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1-Max by roughly 40 points. With only days left until end-of-September resolution, recent leaderboard stability and the absence of major competing releases from Google, Meta, or open-weight labs have reinforced trader consensus around OpenAI’s edge while keeping secondary options like Anthropic at 30%.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
交易量
$158,621結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra-Max currently leads the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with the highest Arena score, driving its 68% implied probability among traders. The model’s early-September release delivered clear gains in agentic, multi-step web development tasks that the crowdsourced benchmark rewards, outpacing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1-Max by roughly 40 points. With only days left until end-of-September resolution, recent leaderboard stability and the absence of major competing releases from Google, Meta, or open-weight labs have reinforced trader consensus around OpenAI’s edge while keeping secondary options like Anthropic at 30%.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$158,621結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ETOpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra-Max currently leads the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with the highest Arena score, driving its 68% implied probability among traders. The model’s early-September release delivered clear gains in agentic, multi-step web development tasks that the crowdsourced benchmark rewards, outpacing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1-Max by roughly 40 points. With only days left until end-of-September resolution, recent leaderboard stability and the absence of major competing releases from Google, Meta, or open-weight labs have reinforced trader consensus around OpenAI’s edge while keeping secondary options like Anthropic at 30%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions