Google's ongoing delays with the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June 2026 at I/O and then slipped past July—continue to shape trader views on the next Pro model release. As of mid-August, the model remains in partner testing with no confirmed public date, while lighter variants like Gemini 3.7 Flash reached general availability on August 13 and Gemini 4 pre-training has begun. This pattern of incremental Flash updates amid persistent Pro slippage, combined with competitive pressure from rivals and internal execution challenges, underpins the tight clustering of September probabilities and elevated chance of no release by month-end. Key near-term catalysts include any partner feedback signals or Google developer conference announcements that could clarify timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於於9月30日之前不發布 36%
9 月 29 日 31%
9 月 5 日 31%
9 月 7 日 31%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
在 9 月 1 日或之前
20%
9 月 2 日
27%
9 月 3 日
15%
9 月 4 日
27%
9 月 5 日
31%
9 月 6 日
17%
9 月 7 日
31%
9 月 8 日
30%
9 月 9 日
16%
9 月 10 日
30%
9 月 11 日
16%
9 月 12 日
31%
9 月 13 日
30%
9 月 14 日
31%
9 月 15 日
15%
9 月 16 日
30%
9 月 17 日
30%
9 月 18 日
17%
9 月 19 日
30%
9 月 20 日
18%
9月21日
17%
9 月 22 日
30%
9 月 23 日
30%
9 月 24 日
30%
9 月 25 日
16%
9 月 26 日
18%
9 月 27 日
17%
9 月 28 日
16%
9 月 29 日
31%
9 月 30 日
31%
於9月30日之前不發布
36%
於9月30日之前不發布 36%
9 月 29 日 31%
9 月 5 日 31%
9 月 7 日 31%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
在 9 月 1 日或之前
$3 交易量
20%
9 月 2 日
$0 交易量
27%
9 月 3 日
$0 交易量
15%
9 月 4 日
$0 交易量
27%
9 月 5 日
$0 交易量
31%
9 月 6 日
$0 交易量
17%
9 月 7 日
$0 交易量
31%
9 月 8 日
$0 交易量
30%
9 月 9 日
$0 交易量
16%
9 月 10 日
$0 交易量
30%
9 月 11 日
$0 交易量
16%
9 月 12 日
$0 交易量
31%
9 月 13 日
$0 交易量
30%
9 月 14 日
$0 交易量
31%
9 月 15 日
$0 交易量
15%
9 月 16 日
$0 交易量
30%
9 月 17 日
$0 交易量
30%
9 月 18 日
$0 交易量
17%
9 月 19 日
$0 交易量
30%
9 月 20 日
$0 交易量
18%
9月21日
$0 交易量
17%
9 月 22 日
$0 交易量
30%
9 月 23 日
$0 交易量
30%
9 月 24 日
$0 交易量
30%
9 月 25 日
$0 交易量
16%
9 月 26 日
$0 交易量
18%
9 月 27 日
$0 交易量
17%
9 月 28 日
$0 交易量
16%
9 月 29 日
$0 交易量
31%
9 月 30 日
$0 交易量
31%
於9月30日之前不發布
$8 交易量
36%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays with the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June 2026 at I/O and then slipped past July—continue to shape trader views on the next Pro model release. As of mid-August, the model remains in partner testing with no confirmed public date, while lighter variants like Gemini 3.7 Flash reached general availability on August 13 and Gemini 4 pre-training has begun. This pattern of incremental Flash updates amid persistent Pro slippage, combined with competitive pressure from rivals and internal execution challenges, underpins the tight clustering of September probabilities and elevated chance of no release by month-end. Key near-term catalysts include any partner feedback signals or Google developer conference announcements that could clarify timelines.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
交易量
$11結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delays with the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June 2026 at I/O and then slipped past July—continue to shape trader views on the next Pro model release. As of mid-August, the model remains in partner testing with no confirmed public date, while lighter variants like Gemini 3.7 Flash reached general availability on August 13 and Gemini 4 pre-training has begun. This pattern of incremental Flash updates amid persistent Pro slippage, combined with competitive pressure from rivals and internal execution challenges, underpins the tight clustering of September probabilities and elevated chance of no release by month-end. Key near-term catalysts include any partner feedback signals or Google developer conference announcements that could clarify timelines.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$11結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's ongoing delays with the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June 2026 at I/O and then slipped past July—continue to shape trader views on the next Pro model release. As of mid-August, the model remains in partner testing with no confirmed public date, while lighter variants like Gemini 3.7 Flash reached general availability on August 13 and Gemini 4 pre-training has begun. This pattern of incremental Flash updates amid persistent Pro slippage, combined with competitive pressure from rivals and internal execution challenges, underpins the tight clustering of September probabilities and elevated chance of no release by month-end. Key near-term catalysts include any partner feedback signals or Google developer conference announcements that could clarify timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions