Google's July 21, 2026 release of Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite alongside 3.6 Flash established the current lightweight benchmark, with the new model emphasizing 350 tokens-per-second throughput, strong agentic performance, and sub-$3 per million output token pricing to support high-volume automation. Earlier 3.1 Flash-Lite availability in May set the pattern of incremental Flash-Lite updates focused on latency and cost rather than frontier intelligence. The August 13 launch of 3.7 Flash and ongoing 3.5 Pro testing signal continued rapid iteration in the 3.x series, while training for Gemini 4 has begun. Traders weigh these release cadences, developer feedback on token efficiency, and competition from faster or cheaper alternatives when assessing timelines for any 3.6+ Flash-Lite successor.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月30日
49%
11 月 30 日
48%
$28 交易量
9月30日
49%
11 月 30 日
48%
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash-Lite, while models whose name does not include "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.6, such as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash-Lite Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Aug 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash-Lite, while models whose name does not include "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.6, such as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash-Lite Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Google's July 21, 2026 release of Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite alongside 3.6 Flash established the current lightweight benchmark, with the new model emphasizing 350 tokens-per-second throughput, strong agentic performance, and sub-$3 per million output token pricing to support high-volume automation. Earlier 3.1 Flash-Lite availability in May set the pattern of incremental Flash-Lite updates focused on latency and cost rather than frontier intelligence. The August 13 launch of 3.7 Flash and ongoing 3.5 Pro testing signal continued rapid iteration in the 3.x series, while training for Gemini 4 has begun. Traders weigh these release cadences, developer feedback on token efficiency, and competition from faster or cheaper alternatives when assessing timelines for any 3.6+ Flash-Lite successor.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions