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icon for OpenAI IPO由... ？
科技·IPO

OpenAI IPO由... ？

icon for OpenAI IPO由... ？
科技·IPO

OpenAI IPO由... ？

$1,202,465 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,202,465 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 2026年6月30日

2026年6月30日

$254,158 交易量

2%

icon for 2026年12月31日

2026年12月31日

$452,779 交易量

29%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on OpenAI's IPO hinges on escalating internal tensions, with CEO Sam Altman aggressively targeting a Q4 2026 listing to fund massive compute buildout—reportedly over $600 billion in commitments—while new CFO Sarah Friar has flagged the timeline as unrealistic due to slowing revenue growth, organizational gaps, and missed user targets. Recent Wall Street Journal and Information reports from early May underscore Friar's exclusion from key investor talks, fueling delay speculation to 2027 despite a $6.6 billion employee share sale boosting hype. In the fierce AI race against Anthropic and xAI, OpenAI's for-profit restructuring enables capital raises, but S-1 filings or Altman updates could sway market-implied odds before year-end resolution criteria.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,202,465
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on OpenAI's IPO hinges on escalating internal tensions, with CEO Sam Altman aggressively targeting a Q4 2026 listing to fund massive compute buildout—reportedly over $600 billion in commitments—while new CFO Sarah Friar has flagged the timeline as unrealistic due to slowing revenue growth, organizational gaps, and missed user targets. Recent Wall Street Journal and Information reports from early May underscore Friar's exclusion from key investor talks, fueling delay speculation to 2027 despite a $6.6 billion employee share sale boosting hype. In the fierce AI race against Anthropic and xAI, OpenAI's for-profit restructuring enables capital raises, but S-1 filings or Altman updates could sway market-implied odds before year-end resolution criteria.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,202,465
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI IPO由... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 29%, followed by "2026年6月30日" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 29¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI IPO由... ？" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI IPO由... ？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OpenAI IPO由... ？" is "2026年12月31日" at 29%, meaning the market assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年6月30日" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI IPO由... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.