OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, ahead of a potential late-year or early-2027 listing, anchors current trader sentiment around the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private valuation from its record $122 billion round. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and other AI labs filing similar paperwork, combined with GPT model releases and revenue momentum, supports expectations of a public premium that could push implied odds toward the $2 trillion range. Offsetting factors include ongoing cash burn, missed internal targets, and the need to finalize restructuring, creating the tight spread between sub-$1 trillion and multi-trillion outcomes visible in the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$2.0T–$2.25T 29%
<$1T 25%
$1.75T–$2.0T 16%
$1.25T–$1.5T 14%
<$1T
25%
$1.0T–$1.25T
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
28%
$1.5T–$1.75T
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
16%
$2.0T–$2.25T
29%
$2.25T–$2.5T
12%
$2.5T+
13%
$2.0T–$2.25T 29%
<$1T 25%
$1.75T–$2.0T 16%
$1.25T–$1.5T 14%
<$1T
25%
$1.0T–$1.25T
13%
$1.25T–$1.5T
28%
$1.5T–$1.75T
13%
$1.75T–$2.0T
16%
$2.0T–$2.25T
29%
$2.25T–$2.5T
12%
$2.5T+
13%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026, ahead of a potential late-year or early-2027 listing, anchors current trader sentiment around the company’s $852 billion March 2026 private valuation from its record $122 billion round. Competitive pressure from Anthropic and other AI labs filing similar paperwork, combined with GPT model releases and revenue momentum, supports expectations of a public premium that could push implied odds toward the $2 trillion range. Offsetting factors include ongoing cash burn, missed internal targets, and the need to finalize restructuring, creating the tight spread between sub-$1 trillion and multi-trillion outcomes visible in the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions