Morgan Stanley’s dominant 73.5% market-implied odds reflect its recent selection as lead arranger for Anthropic’s $15 billion syndicated credit facility, a structure mirroring SpaceX’s pre-IPO playbook that typically pre-allocates senior IPO mandates. Reports from early September indicate Morgan Stanley holds pole position for the lead-left role, having led recent investor pricing discussions, while Goldman Sachs is positioned for the stabilization-agent slot at 14.8% odds. JPMorgan’s minimal 0.3% probability aligns with its supporting but non-lead participation alongside Citigroup in the credit syndicate. With the confidential S-1 filed in June and a potential public filing or roadshow now eyed for late September or mid-October, the current pricing embeds expectations that these roles will hold through final underwriting allocations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Morgan Stanley 79%
Goldman Sachs 14.8%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$66,155 交易量
$66,155 交易量
2027-12-31
Morgan Stanley
74%
Goldman Sachs
15%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 79%
Goldman Sachs 14.8%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$66,155 交易量
$66,155 交易量
2027-12-31
Morgan Stanley
$17,107 交易量
74%
Goldman Sachs
$12,895 交易量
15%
JPMorgan
$11,535 交易量
<1%
Bank of America
$5,606 交易量
<1%
Citigroup
$4,355 交易量
<1%
Barclays
$4,211 交易量
<1%
UBS
$3,500 交易量
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$4,228 交易量
<1%
Wells Fargo
$2,716 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s dominant 73.5% market-implied odds reflect its recent selection as lead arranger for Anthropic’s $15 billion syndicated credit facility, a structure mirroring SpaceX’s pre-IPO playbook that typically pre-allocates senior IPO mandates. Reports from early September indicate Morgan Stanley holds pole position for the lead-left role, having led recent investor pricing discussions, while Goldman Sachs is positioned for the stabilization-agent slot at 14.8% odds. JPMorgan’s minimal 0.3% probability aligns with its supporting but non-lead participation alongside Citigroup in the credit syndicate. With the confidential S-1 filed in June and a potential public filing or roadshow now eyed for late September or mid-October, the current pricing embeds expectations that these roles will hold through final underwriting allocations.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
交易量
$66,155結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s dominant 73.5% market-implied odds reflect its recent selection as lead arranger for Anthropic’s $15 billion syndicated credit facility, a structure mirroring SpaceX’s pre-IPO playbook that typically pre-allocates senior IPO mandates. Reports from early September indicate Morgan Stanley holds pole position for the lead-left role, having led recent investor pricing discussions, while Goldman Sachs is positioned for the stabilization-agent slot at 14.8% odds. JPMorgan’s minimal 0.3% probability aligns with its supporting but non-lead participation alongside Citigroup in the credit syndicate. With the confidential S-1 filed in June and a potential public filing or roadshow now eyed for late September or mid-October, the current pricing embeds expectations that these roles will hold through final underwriting allocations.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$66,155結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETMorgan Stanley’s dominant 73.5% market-implied odds reflect its recent selection as lead arranger for Anthropic’s $15 billion syndicated credit facility, a structure mirroring SpaceX’s pre-IPO playbook that typically pre-allocates senior IPO mandates. Reports from early September indicate Morgan Stanley holds pole position for the lead-left role, having led recent investor pricing discussions, while Goldman Sachs is positioned for the stabilization-agent slot at 14.8% odds. JPMorgan’s minimal 0.3% probability aligns with its supporting but non-lead participation alongside Citigroup in the credit syndicate. With the confidential S-1 filed in June and a potential public filing or roadshow now eyed for late September or mid-October, the current pricing embeds expectations that these roles will hold through final underwriting allocations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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