Databricks' elevated 63.5% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflects CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments that the year represents a crowded window with competing large offerings, prompting the company to close a $5 billion strategic round at a $190 billion valuation in August instead. Robust revenue momentum, including an $7 billion annualized run rate with over 80% year-over-year growth in Q2, has supported successive private markups from $134 billion in late 2025 to $188–190 billion recently, reducing near-term listing pressure. Trader consensus on post-IPO closing market cap brackets below $200 billion aligns with these private valuations and typical IPO discounts, while higher ranges price in potential AI-driven expansion if conditions improve in 2027 or beyond.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於低於 1,500 億美元 87%
1,500 億-2,000 億美元 85%
4,000億美元–4,500億美元 83%
2,000億美元–2,500億美元 76%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低於 1,500 億美元
87%
1,500 億-2,000 億美元
85%
2,000億美元–2,500億美元
76%
2,500 億至 3,000 億美元
60%
3,000億-3,500億美元
60%
3,500 億美元至 4,000 億美元
60%
4,000億美元–4,500億美元
83%
4,500 億美元以上
66%
在2027年12月31日前不IPO
64%
低於 1,500 億美元 87%
1,500 億-2,000 億美元 85%
4,000億美元–4,500億美元 83%
2,000億美元–2,500億美元 76%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低於 1,500 億美元
$0 交易量
87%
1,500 億-2,000 億美元
$0 交易量
85%
2,000億美元–2,500億美元
$18 交易量
76%
2,500 億至 3,000 億美元
$18 交易量
60%
3,000億-3,500億美元
$18 交易量
60%
3,500 億美元至 4,000 億美元
$18 交易量
60%
4,000億美元–4,500億美元
$0 交易量
83%
4,500 億美元以上
$0 交易量
66%
在2027年12月31日前不IPO
$172 交易量
64%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' elevated 63.5% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflects CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments that the year represents a crowded window with competing large offerings, prompting the company to close a $5 billion strategic round at a $190 billion valuation in August instead. Robust revenue momentum, including an $7 billion annualized run rate with over 80% year-over-year growth in Q2, has supported successive private markups from $134 billion in late 2025 to $188–190 billion recently, reducing near-term listing pressure. Trader consensus on post-IPO closing market cap brackets below $200 billion aligns with these private valuations and typical IPO discounts, while higher ranges price in potential AI-driven expansion if conditions improve in 2027 or beyond.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
交易量
$244結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' elevated 63.5% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflects CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments that the year represents a crowded window with competing large offerings, prompting the company to close a $5 billion strategic round at a $190 billion valuation in August instead. Robust revenue momentum, including an $7 billion annualized run rate with over 80% year-over-year growth in Q2, has supported successive private markups from $134 billion in late 2025 to $188–190 billion recently, reducing near-term listing pressure. Trader consensus on post-IPO closing market cap brackets below $200 billion aligns with these private valuations and typical IPO discounts, while higher ranges price in potential AI-driven expansion if conditions improve in 2027 or beyond.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
交易量
$244結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' elevated 63.5% implied probability of no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflects CEO Ali Ghodsi's June 2026 comments that the year represents a crowded window with competing large offerings, prompting the company to close a $5 billion strategic round at a $190 billion valuation in August instead. Robust revenue momentum, including an $7 billion annualized run rate with over 80% year-over-year growth in Q2, has supported successive private markups from $134 billion in late 2025 to $188–190 billion recently, reducing near-term listing pressure. Trader consensus on post-IPO closing market cap brackets below $200 billion aligns with these private valuations and typical IPO discounts, while higher ranges price in potential AI-driven expansion if conditions improve in 2027 or beyond.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions