Discord's January 2026 confidential IPO filing with Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan has shaped trader views, yet secondary-market prices imply an $8.5 billion valuation as of July 2026—well below the $15 billion peak from its 2021 Series I round. With estimated annual revenue near $600 million and over 200 million monthly active users, the close contest between the 8–11B bucket at 24.5% and the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 22.5% reflects uncertainty over timing, market conditions, and whether revenue growth can support higher multiples amid regulatory review and macroeconomic pressures. Upcoming catalysts include any public filing updates or shifts in tech IPO sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於80–110億 25%
到2027年12月31日之前未進行IPO 22.3%
低於 50 億 16%
200億以上 12.1%
$31,763 交易量
$31,763 交易量
低於 50 億
16%
50–80億
11%
80–110億
25%
110–140億
2%
140–170億美元
3%
170–200 億
6%
200億以上
12%
到2027年12月31日之前未進行IPO
22%
80–110億 25%
到2027年12月31日之前未進行IPO 22.3%
低於 50 億 16%
200億以上 12.1%
$31,763 交易量
$31,763 交易量
低於 50 億
16%
50–80億
11%
80–110億
25%
110–140億
2%
140–170億美元
3%
170–200 億
6%
200億以上
12%
到2027年12月31日之前未進行IPO
22%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord's January 2026 confidential IPO filing with Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan has shaped trader views, yet secondary-market prices imply an $8.5 billion valuation as of July 2026—well below the $15 billion peak from its 2021 Series I round. With estimated annual revenue near $600 million and over 200 million monthly active users, the close contest between the 8–11B bucket at 24.5% and the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 22.5% reflects uncertainty over timing, market conditions, and whether revenue growth can support higher multiples amid regulatory review and macroeconomic pressures. Upcoming catalysts include any public filing updates or shifts in tech IPO sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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