Discord's confidential January 2026 SEC filing and engagement of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have advanced IPO prospects without a public S-1 or pricing yet, leaving the 8–11 billion dollar closing market-cap bucket as the narrow leader at 24.5 percent amid closely matched probabilities. Private-market data from Forge Global shows shares trading near an 8.53 billion dollar valuation in mid-2026, well below the 14.7 billion dollar peak from 2021, reflecting tempered growth in revenue and monetization alongside broader IPO-window constraints from regulatory delays and macro conditions. Traders price in roughly even odds of no listing by December 31, 2027, underscoring uncertainty over timing, final valuation multiples, and potential shifts in competitive positioning within gaming and social platforms. Upcoming catalysts include any acceleration toward a public filing and quarterly earnings trends that could influence implied multiples.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於80–110億 25%
到2027年12月31日之前未進行IPO 22.0%
低於 50 億 16%
200億以上 14.9%
$30,531 交易量
$30,531 交易量
低於 50 億
16%
50–80億
11%
80–110億
25%
110–140億
10%
140–170億美元
2%
170–200 億
7%
200億以上
15%
到2027年12月31日之前未進行IPO
22%
80–110億 25%
到2027年12月31日之前未進行IPO 22.0%
低於 50 億 16%
200億以上 14.9%
$30,531 交易量
$30,531 交易量
低於 50 億
16%
50–80億
11%
80–110億
25%
110–140億
10%
140–170億美元
2%
170–200 億
7%
200億以上
15%
到2027年12月31日之前未進行IPO
22%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord's confidential January 2026 SEC filing and engagement of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have advanced IPO prospects without a public S-1 or pricing yet, leaving the 8–11 billion dollar closing market-cap bucket as the narrow leader at 24.5 percent amid closely matched probabilities. Private-market data from Forge Global shows shares trading near an 8.53 billion dollar valuation in mid-2026, well below the 14.7 billion dollar peak from 2021, reflecting tempered growth in revenue and monetization alongside broader IPO-window constraints from regulatory delays and macro conditions. Traders price in roughly even odds of no listing by December 31, 2027, underscoring uncertainty over timing, final valuation multiples, and potential shifts in competitive positioning within gaming and social platforms. Upcoming catalysts include any acceleration toward a public filing and quarterly earnings trends that could influence implied multiples.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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