Surging private-market momentum from Anthropic’s reported talks for a $30–50 billion funding round at over $900 billion valuation drives the 88 percent market-implied odds for a 600 billion-plus closing market cap. Recent Series G financing at $380 billion in February 2026, expanded Amazon and Google commitments exceeding $100 billion in compute, and continued leadership in enterprise large language models like Claude have reinforced trader consensus around rapid scaling. The 11 percent probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflects possible timeline slippage or extended private status amid the competitive artificial-intelligence landscape, while sub-400 billion brackets receive negligible support given current revenue trajectory and infrastructure partnerships.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6000億+ 88%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 11%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.7%
3,000–4,000 億 <1%
$298,099 交易量
$298,099 交易量
低於 1000 億
<1%
100–200億
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
<1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
2%
6000億+
88%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
11%
6000億+ 88%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 11%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.7%
3,000–4,000 億 <1%
$298,099 交易量
$298,099 交易量
低於 1000 億
<1%
100–200億
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
<1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
2%
6000億+
88%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
11%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Surging private-market momentum from Anthropic’s reported talks for a $30–50 billion funding round at over $900 billion valuation drives the 88 percent market-implied odds for a 600 billion-plus closing market cap. Recent Series G financing at $380 billion in February 2026, expanded Amazon and Google commitments exceeding $100 billion in compute, and continued leadership in enterprise large language models like Claude have reinforced trader consensus around rapid scaling. The 11 percent probability assigned to no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflects possible timeline slippage or extended private status amid the competitive artificial-intelligence landscape, while sub-400 billion brackets receive negligible support given current revenue trajectory and infrastructure partnerships.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions