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Claude 5 預測與賠率

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Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

89%

July 31

$159K 交易量

$68.3K today

$45.3K Liq.

4

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?

Claude Mythos 5 access restored by…?

75%

June 30

$55.3K 交易量

$6.8K Liq.

5

Ends 2 天內

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

90%

Anthropic

$196K 交易量

$11.1K Liq.

3

Ends 超過 1 年內

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

3%

50%+

$389K 交易量

$18.8K Liq.

31

Ends 1 天內

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

2%

$24.2K 交易量

$7.3K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

89%

600B+

$389K 交易量

$146K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

98%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$263K today

$302K Liq.

309

Ends 4 天內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

17%

<$1.25T

$95.6K 交易量

$87.6K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

12%

June 30

$158K 交易量

$7.9K Liq.

16

Ends 3 天內

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

45%

1.8T+

$180K 交易量

$75.0K Liq.

Ends 超過 1 年內

Best AI model on July 4?

Best AI model on July 4?

93%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$1.3K 交易量

$12.5K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

82%

6-8

$37.6K 交易量

$4.3K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

71%

September 30

$16.4K 交易量

$13.6K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 13 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Claude Sonnet released by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic acquired before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.