Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max models currently sit in third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with scores around 1681, just behind OpenAI’s newly launched GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude variants, driving the 71% market-implied odds. Recent September updates to Alibaba’s agentic coding capabilities, competitive pricing, and strong performance in multi-step frontend tasks have solidified this positioning with only days left before the September 30 resolution. Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max trails closely at roughly 1674 while SpaceXAI’s Grok entries sit further back, leaving little room for rapid shifts absent major new releases. Traders are pricing in Alibaba’s sustained edge in this narrow window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿里巴巴 71%
Moonshot 13%
SpaceXAI 10.6%
OpenAI 2.7%
$45,574 交易量
$45,574 交易量
2026-09-30
阿里巴巴
71%
Moonshot
13%
SpaceXAI
11%
OpenAI
3%
Z.ai
2%
字節跳動
1%
DeepSeek
1%
1%
Meta
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
<1%
小米
<1%
Poolside
<1%
騰訊
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Thinky
<1%
阿里巴巴 71%
Moonshot 13%
SpaceXAI 10.6%
OpenAI 2.7%
$45,574 交易量
$45,574 交易量
2026-09-30
阿里巴巴
$14,283 交易量
71%
Moonshot
$10,869 交易量
13%
SpaceXAI
$2,411 交易量
11%
OpenAI
$2,175 交易量
3%
Z.ai
$1,653 交易量
2%
字節跳動
$1,072 交易量
1%
DeepSeek
$1,222 交易量
1%
$1,316 交易量
1%
Meta
$1,409 交易量
1%
MiniMax
$550 交易量
1%
Anthropic
$3,740 交易量
<1%
小米
$1,076 交易量
<1%
Poolside
$986 交易量
<1%
騰訊
$1,031 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$760 交易量
<1%
Thinky
$1,022 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max models currently sit in third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with scores around 1681, just behind OpenAI’s newly launched GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude variants, driving the 71% market-implied odds. Recent September updates to Alibaba’s agentic coding capabilities, competitive pricing, and strong performance in multi-step frontend tasks have solidified this positioning with only days left before the September 30 resolution. Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max trails closely at roughly 1674 while SpaceXAI’s Grok entries sit further back, leaving little room for rapid shifts absent major new releases. Traders are pricing in Alibaba’s sustained edge in this narrow window.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Jul 24, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
交易量
$45,574結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 7:46 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-max models currently sit in third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with scores around 1681, just behind OpenAI’s newly launched GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude variants, driving the 71% market-implied odds. Recent September updates to Alibaba’s agentic coding capabilities, competitive pricing, and strong performance in multi-step frontend tasks have solidified this positioning with only days left before the September 30 resolution. Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max trails closely at roughly 1674 while SpaceXAI’s Grok entries sit further back, leaving little room for rapid shifts absent major new releases. Traders are pricing in Alibaba’s sustained edge in this narrow window.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$45,574結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Jul 24, 2026, 7:46 PM ETAlibaba’s Qwen3.8-max models currently sit in third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard with scores around 1681, just behind OpenAI’s newly launched GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude variants, driving the 71% market-implied odds. Recent September updates to Alibaba’s agentic coding capabilities, competitive pricing, and strong performance in multi-step frontend tasks have solidified this positioning with only days left before the September 30 resolution. Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max trails closely at roughly 1674 while SpaceXAI’s Grok entries sit further back, leaving little room for rapid shifts absent major new releases. Traders are pricing in Alibaba’s sustained edge in this narrow window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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