Traders view Google and Anthropic as the clearest frontrunners for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by November's end, with market-implied odds of 28.5% and 25.5% reflecting their edge in large language model reasoning benchmarks. Google's Gemini updates have shown measurable gains on complex math tasks through improved chain-of-thought and tool-use integration, while Anthropic's Claude models maintain strength via targeted post-training that enhances accuracy without sacrificing safety constraints. OpenAI sits at 14% amid anticipation for next GPT iterations, yet the crowded field—spanning specialized labs like Moonshot and Alibaba—creates tight competition where small benchmark shifts or new model releases could quickly alter positioning ahead of the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Google 29%
Anthropic 26%
OpenAI 14%
Moonshot 10%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
29%
Anthropic
26%
OpenAI
14%
Moonshot
10%
阿里巴巴
9%
Z.ai
8%
字節跳動
4%
DeepSeek
4%
Mistral
4%
小米
4%
SpaceXAI
4%
百度
4%
騰訊
4%
Thinky
4%
MiniMax
4%
StepFun
4%
微軟
4%
Nvidia
4%
美團
4%
亞馬遜
3%
Meta
3%
Google 29%
Anthropic 26%
OpenAI 14%
Moonshot 10%
最新
最新
2026-11-30
$370 交易量
29%
Anthropic
$838 交易量
26%
OpenAI
$236 交易量
14%
Moonshot
$314 交易量
10%
阿里巴巴
$84 交易量
9%
Z.ai
$71 交易量
8%
字節跳動
$64 交易量
4%
DeepSeek
$288 交易量
4%
Mistral
$236 交易量
4%
小米
$88 交易量
4%
SpaceXAI
$66 交易量
4%
百度
$90 交易量
4%
騰訊
$65 交易量
4%
Thinky
$96 交易量
4%
MiniMax
$66 交易量
4%
StepFun
$84 交易量
4%
微軟
$110 交易量
4%
Nvidia
$65 交易量
4%
美團
$66 交易量
4%
亞馬遜
$373 交易量
3%
Meta
$65 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view Google and Anthropic as the clearest frontrunners for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by November's end, with market-implied odds of 28.5% and 25.5% reflecting their edge in large language model reasoning benchmarks. Google's Gemini updates have shown measurable gains on complex math tasks through improved chain-of-thought and tool-use integration, while Anthropic's Claude models maintain strength via targeted post-training that enhances accuracy without sacrificing safety constraints. OpenAI sits at 14% amid anticipation for next GPT iterations, yet the crowded field—spanning specialized labs like Moonshot and Alibaba—creates tight competition where small benchmark shifts or new model releases could quickly alter positioning ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
交易量
$3,732結束日期
2026-12-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view Google and Anthropic as the clearest frontrunners for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by November's end, with market-implied odds of 28.5% and 25.5% reflecting their edge in large language model reasoning benchmarks. Google's Gemini updates have shown measurable gains on complex math tasks through improved chain-of-thought and tool-use integration, while Anthropic's Claude models maintain strength via targeted post-training that enhances accuracy without sacrificing safety constraints. OpenAI sits at 14% amid anticipation for next GPT iterations, yet the crowded field—spanning specialized labs like Moonshot and Alibaba—creates tight competition where small benchmark shifts or new model releases could quickly alter positioning ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$3,732結束日期
2026-12-01市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETTraders view Google and Anthropic as the clearest frontrunners for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by November's end, with market-implied odds of 28.5% and 25.5% reflecting their edge in large language model reasoning benchmarks. Google's Gemini updates have shown measurable gains on complex math tasks through improved chain-of-thought and tool-use integration, while Anthropic's Claude models maintain strength via targeted post-training that enhances accuracy without sacrificing safety constraints. OpenAI sits at 14% amid anticipation for next GPT iterations, yet the crowded field—spanning specialized labs like Moonshot and Alibaba—creates tight competition where small benchmark shifts or new model releases could quickly alter positioning ahead of the resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions