**Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus 5.2 release, combined with Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence, are shaping trader views on the next Opus launch.** Opus 5 shipped July 24, 2026, as a more efficient, lower-priced alternative to the flagship Fable 5 while retaining strong agentic coding and reasoning performance. It followed Opus 4.8 (May 28) and preceded Fable/Mythos 5.1 on September 1. Unverified reports from multiple accounts point to a mid-September rollout (around September 17–18 or by month-end), citing internal routing tests and greyscale evaluations, though Anthropic has issued no official confirmation, model card, or API listing as of mid-September. Markets reflect this momentum, with high implied probability of a release by late September amid ongoing competition on capability, cost, and safety guardrails. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic announcements, API updates, or credible leaks that could confirm timing or shift expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$123,432 交易量
2026-09-30
9 月 30 日
79%
9月17日
17%
9 月 20 日
41%
9月24日
58%
9月27日
55%
10月31日
98%
12月31日
98%
$123,432 交易量
9 月 30 日
$60,543 交易量
79%
9月17日
$1,323 交易量
17%
9 月 20 日
$849 交易量
41%
9月24日
$468 交易量
58%
9月27日
$86 交易量
55%
10月31日
$13,502 交易量
98%
12月31日
$5,146 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus 5.2 release, combined with Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence, are shaping trader views on the next Opus launch.**
Opus 5 shipped July 24, 2026, as a more efficient, lower-priced alternative to the flagship Fable 5 while retaining strong agentic coding and reasoning performance. It followed Opus 4.8 (May 28) and preceded Fable/Mythos 5.1 on September 1. Unverified reports from multiple accounts point to a mid-September rollout (around September 17–18 or by month-end), citing internal routing tests and greyscale evaluations, though Anthropic has issued no official confirmation, model card, or API listing as of mid-September.
Markets reflect this momentum, with high implied probability of a release by late September amid ongoing competition on capability, cost, and safety guardrails. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic announcements, API updates, or credible leaks that could confirm timing or shift expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
交易量
$123,432結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus 5.2 release, combined with Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence, are shaping trader views on the next Opus launch.**
Opus 5 shipped July 24, 2026, as a more efficient, lower-priced alternative to the flagship Fable 5 while retaining strong agentic coding and reasoning performance. It followed Opus 4.8 (May 28) and preceded Fable/Mythos 5.1 on September 1. Unverified reports from multiple accounts point to a mid-September rollout (around September 17–18 or by month-end), citing internal routing tests and greyscale evaluations, though Anthropic has issued no official confirmation, model card, or API listing as of mid-September.
Markets reflect this momentum, with high implied probability of a release by late September amid ongoing competition on capability, cost, and safety guardrails. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic announcements, API updates, or credible leaks that could confirm timing or shift expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$123,432結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET**Recent rumors of an imminent Claude Opus 5.2 release, combined with Anthropic’s accelerated 2026 cadence, are shaping trader views on the next Opus launch.** Opus 5 shipped July 24, 2026, as a more efficient, lower-priced alternative to the flagship Fable 5 while retaining strong agentic coding and reasoning performance. It followed Opus 4.8 (May 28) and preceded Fable/Mythos 5.1 on September 1. Unverified reports from multiple accounts point to a mid-September rollout (around September 17–18 or by month-end), citing internal routing tests and greyscale evaluations, though Anthropic has issued no official confirmation, model card, or API listing as of mid-September. Markets reflect this momentum, with high implied probability of a release by late September amid ongoing competition on capability, cost, and safety guardrails. Key near-term catalysts include any Anthropic announcements, API updates, or credible leaks that could confirm timing or shift expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions