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icon for 雅特從公眾訪問權限中移除... ?

雅特從公眾訪問權限中移除... ?

icon for 雅特從公眾訪問權限中移除... ?

雅特從公眾訪問權限中移除... ?

最新
2026-09-30
Polymarket

$36 交易量

Polymarket

9 月 30 日

$36 交易量

6%

10月31日

$0 交易量

41%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance). Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed. A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.**OpenAI released GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, as its first model to hit the “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under its Preparedness Framework, prompting a controlled, phased rollout rather than broad public availability.** The company limited advanced exploit-generation capabilities at launch to approved testers and Daybreak program partners focused on defensive work, while expanding access over subsequent days to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise users, and the API. This followed an August safety pause for additional evaluations after internal tests showed Astra could identify and develop zero-day exploits across hardened systems without step-by-step human guidance. OpenAI emphasized stronger monitoring, encryption, and scope restrictions to address alignment and monitorability concerns, including reduced chain-of-thought transparency compared with prior models like GPT-5.6 Sol. No regulatory action or company statement has signaled a general U.S. public-access removal. Traders see the staggered launch and ongoing safeguards as evidence that OpenAI intends to maintain controlled availability rather than withdraw the model, with the next catalysts being the pace of API and subscriber expansion in the coming weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).

Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.

A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance). Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed. A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$36
結束日期
2026-11-01
市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance). Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed. A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.**OpenAI released GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, as its first model to hit the “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under its Preparedness Framework, prompting a controlled, phased rollout rather than broad public availability.** The company limited advanced exploit-generation capabilities at launch to approved testers and Daybreak program partners focused on defensive work, while expanding access over subsequent days to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise users, and the API. This followed an August safety pause for additional evaluations after internal tests showed Astra could identify and develop zero-day exploits across hardened systems without step-by-step human guidance. OpenAI emphasized stronger monitoring, encryption, and scope restrictions to address alignment and monitorability concerns, including reduced chain-of-thought transparency compared with prior models like GPT-5.6 Sol. No regulatory action or company statement has signaled a general U.S. public-access removal. Traders see the staggered launch and ongoing safeguards as evidence that OpenAI intends to maintain controlled availability rather than withdraw the model, with the next catalysts being the pace of API and subscriber expansion in the coming weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).

Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.

A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance). Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed. A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$36
結束日期
2026-11-01
市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"雅特從公眾訪問權限中移除... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "10月31日" at 41%, followed by "9 月 30 日" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"雅特從公眾訪問權限中移除... ?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "雅特從公眾訪問權限中移除... ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "雅特從公眾訪問權限中移除... ?" is "10月31日" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9 月 30 日" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "雅特從公眾訪問權限中移除... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.