MiniMax leads trader sentiment at 91.5% implied probability due to its H3 multimodal model’s consistent top rankings on independent image-to-video leaderboards, including first or near-first place on Artificial Analysis for I2V with audio as of early September 2026. The July 2026 release delivers native stereo audio, up to 2K resolution, strong instruction following, and reference-image control, while open weights have spurred rapid community optimizations, fine-tunes, and ComfyUI integrations that enhance speed and quality without sacrificing performance. This edge over closed models from ByteDance, Google, and Alibaba reflects demonstrated capabilities rather than speculation. A surprise late-September release or benchmark reversal from competitors could still narrow the gap before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於MiniMax 92%
字節跳動 3.6%
Google 3.5%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH 2.8%
$13,449 交易量
$13,449 交易量
2026-09-30
MiniMax
92%
字節跳動
4%
3%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
3%
Black Forest Labs
3%
Pixverse
3%
Pruna
1%
Runway
1%
生數
1%
Lightricks
1%
KlingAI
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
騰訊
<1%
Pika
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
MiniMax 92%
字節跳動 3.6%
Google 3.5%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH 2.8%
$13,449 交易量
$13,449 交易量
2026-09-30
MiniMax
$5,187 交易量
92%
字節跳動
$639 交易量
4%
$2,617 交易量
3%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
$266 交易量
3%
Black Forest Labs
$262 交易量
3%
Pixverse
$273 交易量
3%
Pruna
$265 交易量
1%
Runway
$1,946 交易量
1%
生數
$293 交易量
1%
Lightricks
$244 交易量
1%
KlingAI
$253 交易量
<1%
Luma AI
$304 交易量
<1%
騰訊
$330 交易量
<1%
Pika
$282 交易量
<1%
SpaceXAI
$292 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".MiniMax leads trader sentiment at 91.5% implied probability due to its H3 multimodal model’s consistent top rankings on independent image-to-video leaderboards, including first or near-first place on Artificial Analysis for I2V with audio as of early September 2026. The July 2026 release delivers native stereo audio, up to 2K resolution, strong instruction following, and reference-image control, while open weights have spurred rapid community optimizations, fine-tunes, and ComfyUI integrations that enhance speed and quality without sacrificing performance. This edge over closed models from ByteDance, Google, and Alibaba reflects demonstrated capabilities rather than speculation. A surprise late-September release or benchmark reversal from competitors could still narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
交易量
$13,449結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:53 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".MiniMax leads trader sentiment at 91.5% implied probability due to its H3 multimodal model’s consistent top rankings on independent image-to-video leaderboards, including first or near-first place on Artificial Analysis for I2V with audio as of early September 2026. The July 2026 release delivers native stereo audio, up to 2K resolution, strong instruction following, and reference-image control, while open weights have spurred rapid community optimizations, fine-tunes, and ComfyUI integrations that enhance speed and quality without sacrificing performance. This edge over closed models from ByteDance, Google, and Alibaba reflects demonstrated capabilities rather than speculation. A surprise late-September release or benchmark reversal from competitors could still narrow the gap before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$13,449結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 3:53 PM ETMiniMax leads trader sentiment at 91.5% implied probability due to its H3 multimodal model’s consistent top rankings on independent image-to-video leaderboards, including first or near-first place on Artificial Analysis for I2V with audio as of early September 2026. The July 2026 release delivers native stereo audio, up to 2K resolution, strong instruction following, and reference-image control, while open weights have spurred rapid community optimizations, fine-tunes, and ComfyUI integrations that enhance speed and quality without sacrificing performance. This edge over closed models from ByteDance, Google, and Alibaba reflects demonstrated capabilities rather than speculation. A surprise late-September release or benchmark reversal from competitors could still narrow the gap before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions