Google’s Veo models, particularly Veo 3.1 and subsequent iterations, anchor trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to consistent leadership in independent evaluations for cinematic realism, native audio synchronization, physics accuracy, and multi-input control features like reference images and styles. These capabilities position it ahead of competitors in production-grade text-to-video workflows as of mid-2026. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0 and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 remain close behind on certain Elo leaderboards for visual fidelity and motion handling, while OpenAI’s Sora 2, Runway Gen-4.5, and Luma variants trail in direct comparisons for polish and ecosystem integration. No major model releases have shifted rankings in the past month, but Google’s mature API access and developer tooling continue to widen its edge ahead of the September resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Google 71%
字節跳動 12%
Runway 11%
Pika 7.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
71%
字節跳動
12%
Runway
11%
Pika
8%
Luma AI
6%
MiniMax
4%
KlingAI
4%
Pruna
4%
騰訊
4%
Meta
3%
Genmo AI
3%
SpaceXAI
2%
Lightricks
1%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
1%
Pixverse
1%
OpenAI
1%
Kandinsky
1%
Google 71%
字節跳動 12%
Runway 11%
Pika 7.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
$4,623 交易量
71%
字節跳動
$178 交易量
12%
Runway
$161 交易量
11%
Pika
$227 交易量
8%
Luma AI
$111 交易量
6%
MiniMax
$174 交易量
4%
KlingAI
$194 交易量
4%
Pruna
$163 交易量
4%
騰訊
$116 交易量
4%
Meta
$51 交易量
3%
Genmo AI
$131 交易量
3%
SpaceXAI
$222 交易量
2%
Lightricks
$188 交易量
1%
阿里巴巴/阿里巴巴-ATH
$111 交易量
1%
Pixverse
$116 交易量
1%
OpenAI
$116 交易量
1%
Kandinsky
$116 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s Veo models, particularly Veo 3.1 and subsequent iterations, anchor trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to consistent leadership in independent evaluations for cinematic realism, native audio synchronization, physics accuracy, and multi-input control features like reference images and styles. These capabilities position it ahead of competitors in production-grade text-to-video workflows as of mid-2026. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0 and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 remain close behind on certain Elo leaderboards for visual fidelity and motion handling, while OpenAI’s Sora 2, Runway Gen-4.5, and Luma variants trail in direct comparisons for polish and ecosystem integration. No major model releases have shifted rankings in the past month, but Google’s mature API access and developer tooling continue to widen its edge ahead of the September resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
交易量
$6,996結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s Veo models, particularly Veo 3.1 and subsequent iterations, anchor trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to consistent leadership in independent evaluations for cinematic realism, native audio synchronization, physics accuracy, and multi-input control features like reference images and styles. These capabilities position it ahead of competitors in production-grade text-to-video workflows as of mid-2026. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0 and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 remain close behind on certain Elo leaderboards for visual fidelity and motion handling, while OpenAI’s Sora 2, Runway Gen-4.5, and Luma variants trail in direct comparisons for polish and ecosystem integration. No major model releases have shifted rankings in the past month, but Google’s mature API access and developer tooling continue to widen its edge ahead of the September resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$6,996結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s Veo models, particularly Veo 3.1 and subsequent iterations, anchor trader sentiment at 71% implied probability due to consistent leadership in independent evaluations for cinematic realism, native audio synchronization, physics accuracy, and multi-input control features like reference images and styles. These capabilities position it ahead of competitors in production-grade text-to-video workflows as of mid-2026. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0 and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 remain close behind on certain Elo leaderboards for visual fidelity and motion handling, while OpenAI’s Sora 2, Runway Gen-4.5, and Luma variants trail in direct comparisons for polish and ecosystem integration. No major model releases have shifted rankings in the past month, but Google’s mature API access and developer tooling continue to widen its edge ahead of the September resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions