Traders see the next Claude Opus release clustered in late September due to unverified routing rumors pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 launch around September 17–18 or month-end, following the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1. Anthropic has issued no official announcement, model card, or API update, leaving probabilities tightly bunched as participants weigh the lab’s recent cadence of iterative Opus upgrades against the absence of confirmed benchmarks or developer access. Key swing factors include any sudden safety-classifier or platform changes that could signal an imminent drop, with the 14.5% chance of no release by September 30 capturing skepticism over rapid turnaround.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在2026年9月30日之前不發布 17%
9月25日 16%
9月24日 16%
9月30日 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
9 月 17 日
6%
9 月 18 日
6%
9月19日
1%
9 月 20 日
5%
9月21日
8%
9月22日
10%
9月23日
13%
9月24日
16%
9月25日
16%
9 月 26 日
5%
9月27日
5%
9 月 28 日
8%
9月29日
11%
9月30日
14%
在2026年9月30日之前不發布
15%
在2026年9月30日之前不發布 17%
9月25日 16%
9月24日 16%
9月30日 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
9 月 17 日
$439 交易量
6%
9 月 18 日
$0 交易量
6%
9月19日
$447 交易量
1%
9 月 20 日
$468 交易量
5%
9月21日
$0 交易量
8%
9月22日
$0 交易量
10%
9月23日
$0 交易量
13%
9月24日
$40 交易量
16%
9月25日
$0 交易量
16%
9 月 26 日
$447 交易量
5%
9月27日
$447 交易量
5%
9 月 28 日
$0 交易量
8%
9月29日
$23 交易量
11%
9月30日
$100 交易量
14%
在2026年9月30日之前不發布
$80 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see the next Claude Opus release clustered in late September due to unverified routing rumors pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 launch around September 17–18 or month-end, following the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1. Anthropic has issued no official announcement, model card, or API update, leaving probabilities tightly bunched as participants weigh the lab’s recent cadence of iterative Opus upgrades against the absence of confirmed benchmarks or developer access. Key swing factors include any sudden safety-classifier or platform changes that could signal an imminent drop, with the 14.5% chance of no release by September 30 capturing skepticism over rapid turnaround.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
交易量
$2,619結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see the next Claude Opus release clustered in late September due to unverified routing rumors pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 launch around September 17–18 or month-end, following the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1. Anthropic has issued no official announcement, model card, or API update, leaving probabilities tightly bunched as participants weigh the lab’s recent cadence of iterative Opus upgrades against the absence of confirmed benchmarks or developer access. Key swing factors include any sudden safety-classifier or platform changes that could signal an imminent drop, with the 14.5% chance of no release by September 30 capturing skepticism over rapid turnaround.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,619結束日期
2026-10-01市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 6:24 PM ETTraders see the next Claude Opus release clustered in late September due to unverified routing rumors pointing to a possible Opus 5.2 launch around September 17–18 or month-end, following the July 24 release of Opus 5 and the September 1 arrival of Fable 5.1. Anthropic has issued no official announcement, model card, or API update, leaving probabilities tightly bunched as participants weigh the lab’s recent cadence of iterative Opus upgrades against the absence of confirmed benchmarks or developer access. Key swing factors include any sudden safety-classifier or platform changes that could signal an imminent drop, with the 14.5% chance of no release by September 30 capturing skepticism over rapid turnaround.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions