下一位Claude Haiku由... ？

1月 1, 2027

最新

2026-08-31

8月31日

$1,564 交易量

10%

10月31日

$903 交易量

60%

12月31日

$4,093 交易量

57%

$6,560 交易量

8月31日

$1,564 交易量

10%

10月31日

$903 交易量

60%

12月31日

$4,093 交易量

57%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently Asked Questions

"下一位Claude Haiku由... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "10月31日" at 60%, followed by "12月31日" at 57%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"下一位Claude Haiku由... ？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？" is "10月31日" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12月31日" at 57%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “下一位Claude Haiku由... ？” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 60¢ for "10月31日" in the "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 60% chance that "10月31日" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 60¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 40¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

下一位Claude Haiku由... ？

下一位Claude Haiku由... ？

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

相關

評論

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？"?

What are the current odds for "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？"?

How will "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？" be resolved?

Can I follow "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？"?

What does a price of 60¢ for "10月31日" mean?

When does the "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？" market close?

What are traders saying about "下一位Claude Haiku由... ？"?

What is Polymarket?