Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced an 85% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by April 2026 supply chain reports from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman affirming the device—likely branded iPhone Ultra with a book-style foldable display—remains on track for a September debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Recent leaks detail a crease-free 7.8-inch inner screen, titanium frame, and $2,000+ pricing, bolstered by analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's production forecasts and dummy model prototypes, outweighing minor engineering delay concerns from Nikkei. This aligns with Apple's historical fall release cadence, though timelines could slip amid complex foldable manufacturing; the September event will be pivotal for confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$161,292 交易量
$161,292 交易量
是
$161,292 交易量
$161,292 交易量
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced an 85% implied probability for Apple releasing a foldable iPhone before 2027, driven by April 2026 supply chain reports from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman affirming the device—likely branded iPhone Ultra with a book-style foldable display—remains on track for a September debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup. Recent leaks detail a crease-free 7.8-inch inner screen, titanium frame, and $2,000+ pricing, bolstered by analyst Ming-Chi Kuo's production forecasts and dummy model prototypes, outweighing minor engineering delay concerns from Nikkei. This aligns with Apple's historical fall release cadence, though timelines could slip amid complex foldable manufacturing; the September event will be pivotal for confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions