Recent supply chain reports and analyst confirmations have driven strong trader consensus toward a 2026 launch for Apple's first foldable iPhone, often referred to as the iPhone Ultra or Fold, with production ramping up for millions of units. Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and other sources affirm the device remains on track for a September debut alongside iPhone 18 Pro models, supported by iOS 27 beta hints and consistent leaks about its book-style design and advanced hinge technology. While engineering snags noted in Nikkei reporting could introduce minor shipment delays into late 2026, these appear unlikely to push the release past year-end given Apple's supplier preparations and historical launch patterns. Key catalysts ahead include Apple's fall event and any final production updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
94% 機率
$270,684 交易量
$270,684 交易量
2026-12-31
是
94% 機率
$270,684 交易量
$270,684 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst confirmations have driven strong trader consensus toward a 2026 launch for Apple's first foldable iPhone, often referred to as the iPhone Ultra or Fold, with production ramping up for millions of units. Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and other sources affirm the device remains on track for a September debut alongside iPhone 18 Pro models, supported by iOS 27 beta hints and consistent leaks about its book-style design and advanced hinge technology. While engineering snags noted in Nikkei reporting could introduce minor shipment delays into late 2026, these appear unlikely to push the release past year-end given Apple's supplier preparations and historical launch patterns. Key catalysts ahead include Apple's fall event and any final production updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
交易量
$270,684結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst confirmations have driven strong trader consensus toward a 2026 launch for Apple's first foldable iPhone, often referred to as the iPhone Ultra or Fold, with production ramping up for millions of units. Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and other sources affirm the device remains on track for a September debut alongside iPhone 18 Pro models, supported by iOS 27 beta hints and consistent leaks about its book-style design and advanced hinge technology. While engineering snags noted in Nikkei reporting could introduce minor shipment delays into late 2026, these appear unlikely to push the release past year-end given Apple's supplier preparations and historical launch patterns. Key catalysts ahead include Apple's fall event and any final production updates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$270,684結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent supply chain reports and analyst confirmations have driven strong trader consensus toward a 2026 launch for Apple's first foldable iPhone, often referred to as the iPhone Ultra or Fold, with production ramping up for millions of units. Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and other sources affirm the device remains on track for a September debut alongside iPhone 18 Pro models, supported by iOS 27 beta hints and consistent leaks about its book-style design and advanced hinge technology. While engineering snags noted in Nikkei reporting could introduce minor shipment delays into late 2026, these appear unlikely to push the release past year-end given Apple's supplier preparations and historical launch patterns. Key catalysts ahead include Apple's fall event and any final production updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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