SpaceX’s Version 3 Starships now carry standard androgynous docking ports and propellant-transfer hardware, positioning the program for its first ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstration in low-Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July 2026 validated key V3 upgrades, including in-space Raptor relight and intact reentry, yet no docking occurred. Trader consensus reflects the remaining sequence: completing the ongoing FAA mishap review, securing clearances for extended orbital operations, and executing the targeted Q3-Q4 2026 propellant-transfer test that requires sequential launches of a target vehicle and tanker. Flight 14, set for September 22, will attempt the first orbital insertion and Starlink V3 deployment but remains a single-ship mission, leaving the 2026 window narrow while 2027 odds align with historical patterns of iterative Starship development.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$70,303 交易量
2026-12-31
2026年12月31日
3%
2027年12月31日
50%
$70,303 交易量
2026年12月31日
$46,234 交易量
3%
2027年12月31日
$24,069 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s Version 3 Starships now carry standard androgynous docking ports and propellant-transfer hardware, positioning the program for its first ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstration in low-Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July 2026 validated key V3 upgrades, including in-space Raptor relight and intact reentry, yet no docking occurred. Trader consensus reflects the remaining sequence: completing the ongoing FAA mishap review, securing clearances for extended orbital operations, and executing the targeted Q3-Q4 2026 propellant-transfer test that requires sequential launches of a target vehicle and tanker. Flight 14, set for September 22, will attempt the first orbital insertion and Starlink V3 deployment but remains a single-ship mission, leaving the 2026 window narrow while 2027 odds align with historical patterns of iterative Starship development.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
交易量
$70,303結束日期
2028-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.SpaceX’s Version 3 Starships now carry standard androgynous docking ports and propellant-transfer hardware, positioning the program for its first ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstration in low-Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July 2026 validated key V3 upgrades, including in-space Raptor relight and intact reentry, yet no docking occurred. Trader consensus reflects the remaining sequence: completing the ongoing FAA mishap review, securing clearances for extended orbital operations, and executing the targeted Q3-Q4 2026 propellant-transfer test that requires sequential launches of a target vehicle and tanker. Flight 14, set for September 22, will attempt the first orbital insertion and Starlink V3 deployment but remains a single-ship mission, leaving the 2026 window narrow while 2027 odds align with historical patterns of iterative Starship development.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface.
The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$70,303結束日期
2028-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 1:09 PM ETSpaceX’s Version 3 Starships now carry standard androgynous docking ports and propellant-transfer hardware, positioning the program for its first ship-to-ship rendezvous and refueling demonstration in low-Earth orbit. Flight 13 in July 2026 validated key V3 upgrades, including in-space Raptor relight and intact reentry, yet no docking occurred. Trader consensus reflects the remaining sequence: completing the ongoing FAA mishap review, securing clearances for extended orbital operations, and executing the targeted Q3-Q4 2026 propellant-transfer test that requires sequential launches of a target vehicle and tanker. Flight 14, set for September 22, will attempt the first orbital insertion and Starlink V3 deployment but remains a single-ship mission, leaving the 2026 window narrow while 2027 odds align with historical patterns of iterative Starship development.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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