Recent June JOLTS data at 7.359 million job openings, below the 7.40 million consensus and down from May’s 7.594 million, anchors trader expectations for July amid signs of softening labor demand, particularly in healthcare and leisure sectors. Stable hires near 5.3 million, unchanged separations, and a job openings rate of 4.4% reflect a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium that has persisted, while broader indicators such as nonfarm payrolls and unemployment trends introduce uncertainty about directional momentum. The wide distribution of market-implied probabilities—peaking at 29.5% for the 7.3–7.4 million bin—captures volatility from seasonal adjustments, regional variations, and potential shifts in monetary policy expectations tied to inflation and Fed funds rate paths ahead of the September 1 release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於730萬-740萬 30%
720萬-730萬 17%
740萬-750萬 17%
750萬-760萬 14%
低於710萬
13%
710萬-720萬
6%
720萬-730萬
17%
730萬-740萬
30%
740萬-750萬
17%
750萬-760萬
14%
760萬-770萬
5%
770萬以上
12%
730萬-740萬 30%
720萬-730萬 17%
740萬-750萬 17%
750萬-760萬 14%
低於710萬
13%
710萬-720萬
6%
720萬-730萬
17%
730萬-740萬
30%
740萬-750萬
17%
750萬-760萬
14%
760萬-770萬
5%
770萬以上
12%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間: Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June JOLTS data at 7.359 million job openings, below the 7.40 million consensus and down from May’s 7.594 million, anchors trader expectations for July amid signs of softening labor demand, particularly in healthcare and leisure sectors. Stable hires near 5.3 million, unchanged separations, and a job openings rate of 4.4% reflect a low-hire, low-fire equilibrium that has persisted, while broader indicators such as nonfarm payrolls and unemployment trends introduce uncertainty about directional momentum. The wide distribution of market-implied probabilities—peaking at 29.5% for the 7.3–7.4 million bin—captures volatility from seasonal adjustments, regional variations, and potential shifts in monetary policy expectations tied to inflation and Fed funds rate paths ahead of the September 1 release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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