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經濟政策 預測與賠率

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聯儲局7月份的決定?

聯儲局7月份的決定?

81%

無變動

$26M 交易量

$3M today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends 29 天內

2026年聯儲局降息多少次?

2026年聯儲局降息多少次?

78%

0(0個基點)

$40M 交易量

$234K today

$3M Liq.

91

Ends 6 個月內

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

68%

No change

$995K 交易量

$74.8K today

$489K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

美聯儲降息... ?

美聯儲降息... ?

18%

12月會議

$3M 交易量

$114K today

$302K Liq.

21

Ends 13 天前

2026年底的聯儲局利率會是多少?

2026年底的聯儲局利率會是多少?

32%

3.75%

$7M 交易量

$328K Liq.

6

Ends 5 個月內

2026年聯儲局加息?

2026年聯儲局加息?

53%

$3M 交易量

$231K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

聯儲局決定( 4月至7月)

聯儲局決定( 4月至7月)

82%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$132K 交易量

$154K Liq.

Ends 29 天內

Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

65%

No change

$121K 交易量

$234K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

96%

No change

$62.7K 交易量

$126K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

2026年國內生產毛額增長

2026年國內生產毛額增長

78%

>2.5%

$42.3K 交易量

$27.0K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊?

美聯儲利率在2027年之前會受到什麼衝擊?

29%

↑ 4.25%

$2M 交易量

$156K Liq.

11

Ends 6 個月內

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

46%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$97.1K 交易量

$192K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

86%

No change

$34.9K 交易量

$40.1K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

到2026年底美國經濟衰退?

到2026年底美國經濟衰退?

12%

$2M 交易量

$24.5K Liq.

69

Ends 7 個月內

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in June?

94%

Increase

$12.9K 交易量

$6.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 10 小時前

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in July?

53%

Increase

$21.1K 交易量

$14.4K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

傑羅姆·鮑威爾( Jerome Powell )在…前從聯儲局

傑羅姆·鮑威爾( Jerome Powell )在…前從聯儲局

39%

12月31日

$424K 交易量

$4.2K Liq.

22

Ends 6 個月內

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

21%

2.5–3.0%

$8.4K 交易量

$16.0K Liq.

Ends 30 天內

Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026

Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026

30%

0.8-1.1%

$1.5K 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

Ends 30 天內

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

3%

$4.5K 交易量

$8.2K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 經濟政策.

Polymarket currently hosts 26 active markets for 經濟政策 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “聯儲局7月份的決定?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $83.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “到2026年底美國經濟衰退?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026年聯儲局降息多少次?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026年聯儲局降息多少次?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 78% chance to 0(0個基點). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 經濟政策 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.