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icon for 特朗普會在2027年之前減少企業稅嗎?

特朗普會在2027年之前減少企業稅嗎?

icon for 特朗普會在2027年之前減少企業稅嗎?

特朗普會在2027年之前減少企業稅嗎?

12月 31

12月 31

8% 機率
Polymarket

$15,673 交易量

8% 機率
Polymarket

$15,673 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. The enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which made permanent the 21 percent corporate tax rate from the prior Tax Cuts and Jobs Act while adding targeted business provisions such as restored bonus depreciation and R&D expensing, has largely satisfied Republican priorities on corporate taxation without enacting further rate reductions. With Congress now addressing implementation, regulatory adjustments, and competing legislative items ahead of the 2026 midterms, additional corporate tax cuts face procedural hurdles and limited floor time. Traders assign a 92.5 percent implied probability to no further cut occurring before 2027 because historical patterns show tax reform typically requires unified party control and early-term momentum that has already been expended on this package. Upcoming budget reconciliation windows and Senate vote thresholds could still create openings, yet recent signals from leadership indicate other fiscal and policy matters will take precedence through at least the next session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

交易量
$15,673
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. The enactment of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025, which made permanent the 21 percent corporate tax rate from the prior Tax Cuts and Jobs Act while adding targeted business provisions such as restored bonus depreciation and R&D expensing, has largely satisfied Republican priorities on corporate taxation without enacting further rate reductions. With Congress now addressing implementation, regulatory adjustments, and competing legislative items ahead of the 2026 midterms, additional corporate tax cuts face procedural hurdles and limited floor time. Traders assign a 92.5 percent implied probability to no further cut occurring before 2027 because historical patterns show tax reform typically requires unified party control and early-term momentum that has already been expended on this package. Upcoming budget reconciliation windows and Senate vote thresholds could still create openings, yet recent signals from leadership indicate other fiscal and policy matters will take precedence through at least the next session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

交易量
$15,673
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普會在2027年之前減少企業稅嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "特朗普會在2027年前削減公司稅嗎?" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 8¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 8% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普會在2027年之前減少企業稅嗎?" has generated $15.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普會在2027年之前減少企業稅嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "特朗普會在2027年之前減少企業稅嗎?" is "特朗普會在2027年前削減公司稅嗎?" at just 8%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "特朗普會在2027年之前減少企業稅嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.