Legislative momentum for repealing the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act has stalled, reinforcing trader expectations that the provision will remain in place through 2026. House Rules Committee rejection of the FAIR BET Act and procedural blocks on bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act reflect Republican priorities to retain the estimated $1.1 billion revenue offset amid debt ceiling and appropriations negotiations. Recent industry appeals, including UFC CEO Dana White’s May 2026 letter to President Trump, have not produced floor votes or reconciliation inclusion. With a divided Congress and midterm pressures ahead, the absence of scheduled action before December 31, 2026, keeps the implied probability of repeal below 40%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$68,293 交易量
$68,293 交易量
是
$68,293 交易量
$68,293 交易量
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Legislative momentum for repealing the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act has stalled, reinforcing trader expectations that the provision will remain in place through 2026. House Rules Committee rejection of the FAIR BET Act and procedural blocks on bipartisan measures such as the FULL HOUSE Act reflect Republican priorities to retain the estimated $1.1 billion revenue offset amid debt ceiling and appropriations negotiations. Recent industry appeals, including UFC CEO Dana White’s May 2026 letter to President Trump, have not produced floor votes or reconciliation inclusion. With a divided Congress and midterm pressures ahead, the absence of scheduled action before December 31, 2026, keeps the implied probability of repeal below 40%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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